Investigations

“A Lion’s Head lighthouse tower was constructed in 1913, knocked off the wharf in the November 8 storm, and repaired and restored to its original location in 1914.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.9734 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 50% · 0% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The two-day weekend is a 20th century invention, whereas earlier Western practice observed a single weekly day of rest.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.9993 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The Club of Rome's Limits to Growth, published in the early 1970s, rested on the false premise that humans would overcrowd the planet's scarce surface area and thereby degrade living conditions for everyone.”

The evidence goes against this. 1 of 1 checkable claim goes against the evidence.

Score: 0.1780 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“At the September 18, 2026 Oval Office event Trump took credit for foreign leaders being elected to office.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.7291 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The Lion’s Head lighthouse history records plans prepared in November 1911, construction in 1913, and repair and restoration to its original location in 1914.”

Checks out so far. 2 hold up so far.

Score: 0.8878 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 50% · 0% counted

2 claims · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The modern use of GPUs in AI began with ImageNet and the ILSVRC computer vision competition, and reinforcement learning as a field began with DeepMind's deep reinforcement learning for winning games.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.9996 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Reliance on Waze causes people to lose the ability to navigate on their own.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.7855 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“A model trained on 100,000 GPUs cannot be served at the speeds users see from Astra, so frontier labs hold a larger internal model that they distil down into the served one.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.6128 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The Decoder reported that GPT-6 Astra used one-third as many compute steps as GPT-5.6 Sol and one-fifth as many as Claude Opus 5 on coding tasks.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 50% · 0% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Building a realistic city in the Unreal Engine normally takes a studio hundreds of artists and months or years of work.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.8112 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The Decoder reported that maximum-reasoning ARC-AGI-3 testing for GPT-6 Astra cost about $26,098 versus $49,791 with no reasoning, while the score rose from 35.2% to 62.7%.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 50% · 0% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Frontier labs walling off their most capable internal models pushes toward larger firms, the opposite of the Coasean prediction.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.6128 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“OpenAI's RL Slow project coincided with the period in which Q* and Strawberry emerged from the company.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.6128 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The Decoder reported GPT-6 Astra at 62.7% on ARC-AGI-3, compared with 7.78% for GPT-5.6 Sol and 30.16% for Claude Opus 5.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 50% · 0% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Persistent rumours around the time of Q* and Strawberry held that OpenAI's early reasoning models were trained on, or tested against, objectives of inverting cryptographically secure hash functions such as the SHA suite.”

Not settled yet. 1 not yet settled.

Score: 0.4641 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The Decoder reported that GPT-6 Astra reached 62.7% on ARC-AGI-3 at a test cost of roughly $26,000.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 50% · 0% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The Star Trek chronology contains no technological singularity.”

Not settled yet. 1 not yet settled.

Score: 0.5934 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The largest AI companies now hold more than $20 trillion in liquidity that they intend to recycle into reinforcing their positions.”

The evidence goes against this. 1 of 1 checkable claim goes against the evidence.

Score: 0.0915 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 50% · 50% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Owning a fleet of robotaxis or humanoid robots is becoming the franchising path to wealth that laundromats and restaurant franchises were decades ago.”

Not settled yet. 1 not yet settled.

Score: 0.5825 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 50% · 50% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“In OpenAI’s reported DeepSWE v1.1 results, GPT-6 Astra scored 74.1% versus 72.7% for GPT-5.6 Sol.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.7927 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 25% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited