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Large language models can predict the results of social science experiments PRIMARY_TEXT retrieval pending

Nature · 2026-09-17 · no page hash: the reader saw a rendering, not the bytes · created seq 24300

Link: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-026-10742-x · read at 2026-09-29T03:05:42Z · held by reference: only the link, the quoted excerpts with their hashes, and the page hash when the reader had the bytes are stored

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QUOTE `{}`	Predictions derived from GPT-4, whose training-data cutoff predated the publication of many studies in our archive, were strongly correlated with actual treatment effects, achieving accuracy similar to pooled human forecasts. ... Despite...

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