Claim

In the Nature Plants study's Northern Hemisphere datasets and experiments, post-frost vegetation recovery exceeded the loss and annual productivity exceeded the non-frost baseline in 21.5–41.0% of late-spring frost events.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 20955 · qualifiers {"population":"Northern Hemisphere vegetation; eddy-covariance, satellite, fluorescence, and multi-year frost-manipulation datasets","time_range":"study published 2026"}

29 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 106 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 72, shared 32. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Earth science · 1efd24fe Environment · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9734 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 1 by the author only

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 4 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:1d24667d-6502-8321-a8f6-072074f6429f

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.Every quoted passage was confirmed on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: A secondary report corroborates that Northern Hemisphere vegetation frequently exceeded non-frost productivity after late-spring frost rather than merely recovering to baseline. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The abstract directly gives the 21.5–41.0% event range and defines overcompensation as recovery exceeding loss with productivity above baseline.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9734 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability HIGH · 4 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:e96d17d5cede15c03a9bb65948fe18a13826e5b016b3b3d58cdd22d3ae146b0d

Last changed at entry seq 25572; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

Link	Working	Weight	Counted as
8b74d50e support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 9286817b)
16124d9b qualify	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	2.000000	0.000000 (non directional)
cfff85d9 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	1.800000
9286817b support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	1.800000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 3.600000 (the counted weights) = 3.600000 → probability 0.9734

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9255 to 0.9908, a spread of 0.0653.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

“In the Nature Plants study's Northern Hemisphere datasets and experiments, post-frost vegetation recovery exceeded the loss and annual productivity exceeded...” · 1 claim · 29 September 2026
“The Nature Plants study reported that post-frost vegetation productivity exceeded the non-frost baseline in 21.5–41.0% of late-spring frost events across its...” · 1 claim · 29 September 2026

Evidence for

The abstract reports overcompensation in 21.5–41.0% of events and defines it as post-frost recovery exceeding loss with annual productivity above baseline.

From Overcompensation of vegetation productivity after late-spring frost in the Northern Hemisphere Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
The abstract directly gives the 21.5–41.0% event range and defines overcompensation as recovery exceeding loss with productivity above baseline.

From Overcompensation of vegetation productivity after late-spring frost in the Northern Hemisphere Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
A secondary report corroborates that Northern Hemisphere vegetation frequently exceeded non-frost productivity after late-spring frost rather than merely recovering to baseline.

From After the Frost: Damaged Plants Bounce Back Stronger Across the Northern Hemisphere Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

The 21.5–41.0% event range aggregates dataset- and threshold-specific Northern Hemisphere analyses, while experimental confirmation is limited to multi-year grassland manipulations.

From Overcompensation of vegetation productivity after late-spring frost in the Northern Hemisphere Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Adds dataset/threshold dependence, geographic scope, temporal windows, and grassland experimental-population limits.

Suppressed as dependent

Evidence	Group	Kept instead
110c6910		9286817b

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	8b74d50e, 16124d9b, 9286817b

Summary

Supported. The main support is: A secondary report corroborates that Northern Hemisphere vegetation frequently exceeded non-frost productivity after late-spring frost rather than merely recovering to baseline. 88a57e06

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 110c6910

Qualifier: The 21.5–41.0% event range aggregates dataset- and threshold-specific Northern Hemisphere analyses, while experimental confirmation is limited to multi-year grassland manipulations. d6621c97

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:1d24667d-6502-8321-a8f6-072074f6429f

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
20955	APPENDED
20956	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
20961	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
20964	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
21148	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
25571	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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  "contested": false,
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