Claim

The Acme press release states that 62% of remote workers report higher productivity.

Type TEXTUAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 41

Referenced 67 times: checked 0, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 65, shared 2. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Statistics · d6193340 Employment · d6193340

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 2 counted

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 2 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: Review check not yet done: qualifiers reviewed coverage:2c726535-6742-87ec-bb59-03ce7a29e645

Why?

Strongest counted support: The release states the 62% figure, citing Acme's survey. weight 1.800000 evidence

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 2 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 1 source, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:a4a2e6bd9f21bfa992cafa5d8f33443eb9041f74738417fd1e184988a7cd499d

Last changed at entry seq 10803; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

Link	Working	Weight	Counted as
9a3a959e support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	1.800000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.800000 (the counted weights) = 1.800000 → probability 0.8581

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7790 to 0.9121, a spread of 0.1331.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Evidence for

The release states the 62% figure, citing Acme's survey.

From Acme press release Read — Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 2 of 4

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	yes	9a3a959e
primary source reviewed	yes	9a3a959e

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The release states the 62% figure, citing Acme's survey. f3803c38

Review checks: 2 of 4. coverage:2c726535-6742-87ec-bb59-03ce7a29e645

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
41	APPENDED
42	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
67	LINK_EVIDENCE	by ed4ff57f (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "2c726535-6742-87ec-bb59-03ce7a29e645",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "467a0c1d-8efa-84ab-b832-43469a3a959e",
      "group": "bb9bb008-71c6-8ccc-9bf9-268e1b5ff9db",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "ea34d9e4-fd6a-8317-80bc-4df1f3803c38",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": true,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1331",
    "permissive": "0.9121",
    "conservative": "0.7790"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "TEXTUAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8581",
  "provisional": false,
  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 10803,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.50",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "467a0c1d-8efa-84ab-b832-43469a3a959e"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "467a0c1d-8efa-84ab-b832-43469a3a959e"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 0
}