As of snapshot 27745 under ledger-default@0.3.0. Counts by assessment state, descriptive only: no topic is scored.
6 Contradicted1 Insufficient evidence3 Leans contradicted10 Not assessed22 Supported1 Unresolved
| Claim | Type | Assessment |
|---|
| Among Texas graduates who found work, first-year earnings for more AI-exposed majors fell approximately 5% from 2021 to 2024 relative to less-exposed majors. | QUANTITATIVE | Supported |
| Among recent graduates from Texas four-year universities, a 10-percentage-point higher share of automatable tasks was associated with a 1.7-percentage-point relative decline in employment rates after late 2022. | QUANTITATIVE | Supported |
| In the study’s analyses, higher PM2.5 pollution was associated with reduced academic working hours, increased hospital visits and fewer scholarly collaborations. | OBSERVATIONAL | Supported |
| In the study’s China-wide estimate, a 1% increase in PM2.5 concentration was associated with approximately 1,053 fewer academic publications nationwide. | QUANTITATIVE | Supported |
| In the study’s pooled five-country trials, phone-call and SMS tutoring produced an estimated 3.6 learning-adjusted years of schooling per US$100 spent. | QUANTITATIVE | Supported |
| Jobs from small employers and smaller markets experienced larger skill upgrades than jobs from large employers and markets, consistent with a catch-up pattern in skill demands. | COMPARATIVE | Supported |
| Across 167 million U.S. online job posts covering 721 occupations, skill change was greater for lower-skilled occupations when distance between skills was taken into account. | COMPARATIVE | Supported |
| Using an instrumental-variable design for Chinese scholars, the study estimated that a 1 μg m−3 increase in annual PM2.5 caused a 0.23% decline in academic publications, with larger effects during heavy-pollution years. | QUANTITATIVE | Supported |
| In the same experiment, treated employers who posted a job were 15% less likely to make a hire than control employers who posted a job. | QUANTITATIVE | Supported |
| In a large randomized field experiment on an online labor market, offering employers AI-written first drafts made them 19% more likely to post a job, but did not increase the overall probability that a match was formed. | QUANTITATIVE | Supported |
| The sequence of education, career and retirement will evaporate, replaced by repeated cycles of learning, creation and sabbatical. | FORECAST | Not assessed |
| Mercor now has 50,000 to 100,000 individual contributors operating effectively as small companies, in India and Brazil. | QUANTITATIVE | Leans contradicted |
| Elon Musk's operation is willing to pay up to $600,000 for top electricians and plumbers to build Colossus in Tennessee, for jobs lasting one to two years before automation. | OBSERVATIONAL | Contradicted |
| Within a few years humanoid robots will make HVAC engineering as automatable as spreadsheet management and accounting. | FORECAST | Not assessed |
| Every profession as currently constituted will be automated, and only the sequencing differs. | FORECAST | Not assessed |
| Becoming excellent at building data centres and cooling systems and reinvesting the proceeds into AI companies is a better life plan than pursuing an accounting degree. | NORMATIVE | Not assessed |
| Andrew Yang has said there will be a large resurgence of the skilled trades. | ATTRIBUTED_BELIEF | Supported |
| Elon Musk said at the G20 in early September 2026 that a robot can do the work of five humans. | ATTRIBUTED_BELIEF | Supported |
| AI will not create jobs fast enough to offset the ones it displaces, though it can create abundance. | FORECAST | Not assessed |
| AI models have reached a capability level at which an entire digital workforce could be replicated within a year. | FORECAST | Not assessed |
| In China, a company that dismisses workers must attempt to retrain them for AI roles and pays either way. | LEGAL | Not assessed |
| The predicted wave of white collar job disruption did not happen because the big AI labs actively chose against it under pressure from the White House. | CAUSAL | Contradicted |
| One concrete mixing truck replaces about a hundred workers shovelling concrete. | QUANTITATIVE | Contradicted |
| Within the million AI-related jobs, co-pilot roles roughly double a worker's efficiency while a separate subset manages tens to hundreds of agents as if they were employees. | INTERPRETIVE | Supported |
| Anyone worried about their job should make becoming AI literate and learning the tools their number one focus. | NORMATIVE | Not assessed |
| Studies show that around 74 per cent of work in large companies is coordination work, which Erik Brynjolfsson calls white collar drudgery. | QUANTITATIVE | Leans contradicted |
| In Principal Financial Group data covering over 100,000 small business clients, more than 60 per cent were adding jobs because of AI and 1.4 per cent were losing jobs because of AI. | QUANTITATIVE | Contradicted |
| Eric Schmidt said that AI-exposed jobs are growing faster and paying better. | ATTRIBUTED_BELIEF | Supported |
| Occupations expected to face AI disruption, including paralegals and market research analysts, have continued to grow. | OBSERVATIONAL | Contradicted |
| Roughly $500 billion in additional annual spending on chips, servers, data centres, cooling and power infrastructure is supporting demand for electricians, HVAC specialists and technicians. | QUANTITATIVE | Supported |
| LinkedIn estimated that 640,000 AI-specific jobs were created between 2023 and 2025. | QUANTITATIVE | Supported |
| Roughly one million professional positions in the United States are now classified as AI jobs. | QUANTITATIVE | Supported |
| The AI economy is now large and self-contained enough that it will mostly leave the legacy economy alone rather than destroying white collar jobs. | FORECAST | Not assessed |
| Dario Amodei and Sam Altman both said AI would eliminate about half of jobs and later reversed those positions. | HISTORICAL | Supported |
| OpenAI says its current systems exceed the output of AI research interns. | OBSERVATIONAL | Supported |
| OpenAI's internal data shows its AI research agents complete 3.1 days of research work for every one day done by a human researcher. | QUANTITATIVE | Insufficient evidence |
| Electricians working on data centers are already earning $600,000 a year. | QUANTITATIVE | Contradicted |
| 62% of 400 remote employees of Acme customers surveyed by Acme in 2026 reported higher productivity. | QUANTITATIVE | Supported |
| The Acme press release states that 62% of remote workers report higher productivity. | TEXTUAL | Supported |
| Companies should adopt remote work. | NORMATIVE | Not assessed |
| The Journal of Distributed Work Research (2025) reports that 62% of remote workers report higher productivity. | TEXTUAL | Leans contradicted |
| Remote work causes higher productivity. | CAUSAL | Supported |
| 62% of remote workers report higher productivity. | QUANTITATIVE | Unresolved |
Galedra