Galedra
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Claim

Van Jones was a CNN political commentator in 2024.

Type HISTORICAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 5134

Referenced 130 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 77, shared 51. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Politics · 56fe4c61 Media · 56fe4c61

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9054 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:348fd778-be3c-8f11-83fd-faafca06799a

Not yet independently audited.Every quoted passage was confirmed on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: CNN's own press material identified Van Jones as a CNN political commentator in 2024. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt identifies Van Jones as a CNN political commentator and former Obama administration official.

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.9054 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 3 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:a0651fb4f9d53ebbfa0c3bd3ab62f835b684b1eff06d08409d58f3044cf3d9eb

Last changed at entry seq 11280; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
946f9bff support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
14c8b8ce support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.459000 0.459000
c185f582 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 946f9bff)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 2.259000 (the counted weights) = 2.259000 → probability 0.9054

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.8294 to 0.9496, a spread of 0.1202.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
1e7ee19f946f9bff

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes2b1ecdbd
opposing search doneyesecdeb64e
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes14c8b8ce

Summary

Supported. The main support is: CNN's own press material identified Van Jones as a CNN political commentator in 2024. e5a6d93b

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 1e7ee19f

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. ecdeb64e

Review checks: 3 of 4. coverage:348fd778-be3c-8f11-83fd-faafca06799a

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
5134APPENDED
5135ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
5156LINK_EVIDENCEby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
8398TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
11279LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "348fd778-be3c-8f11-83fd-faafca06799a",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "31c1b70d-f7a7-8e46-b5d4-5b49946f9bff",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "c7357bc2-4723-816f-a773-d7a0e5a6d93b",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "4db1beeb-db27-8fd7-bdf5-078d14c8b8ce",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "a304fa56-1d8a-8bc8-b885-67e2c492a608",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.459000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.459000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "kept": "31c1b70d-f7a7-8e46-b5d4-5b49946f9bff",
      "link": "dd95c3c3-5097-82be-bf6e-3887c185f582",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "adb996bb-e057-876e-96aa-066f1e7ee19f",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1202",
    "permissive": "0.9496",
    "conservative": "0.8294"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "HISTORICAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9054",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "2.259000",
  "snapshot_seq": 11280,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 2,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.75",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c33f-de40-75d8-be9b-dab32b1ecdbd"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c33f-de30-7f38-b047-ae66ecdeb64e"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "4db1beeb-db27-8fd7-bdf5-078d14c8b8ce"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "2.259000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 3
}