Elections, policy, government, and international affairs. Claims, never speakers, are assessed.
As of snapshot 27745 under ledger-default@0.3.0. Counts by assessment state, descriptive only: no topic is scored.
13 Contradicted2 Insufficient evidence5 Leans supported12 Not assessed48 Supported5 Unresolved
| Claim | Type | Assessment |
|---|
| Canada's defence budget is $29 billion and the U.S. defence budget is $886 billion. | COMPARATIVE | Contradicted |
| The United States has more than 90 naval ships. | QUANTITATIVE | Contradicted |
| Canada has 88 naval ships. | QUANTITATIVE | Contradicted |
| The United States has more than 1,800 fighter jets. | QUANTITATIVE | Leans supported |
| The United States has 1,328,000 active military personnel. | QUANTITATIVE | Leans supported |
| Canada has 68,000 active military personnel. | QUANTITATIVE | Supported |
| Canada has a contingency plan for the remote possibility of U.S. military action. | HISTORICAL | Supported |
| Under the study’s SSP5-8.5 scenario, 171 countries were identified as urgently needing new precipitation gauges. | QUANTITATIVE | Supported |
| The study’s scenario estimates that 2.66 million hectares of wetlands would need restoration by 2030 across the EEA38. | QUANTITATIVE | Leans supported |
| In the study’s Ukraine case, 70.5% of populated areas gained by Russia had newly damaged buildings in the transition month, compared with 43.9% of areas regained by Ukraine. | QUANTITATIVE | Supported |
| Satellite-derived conflict data can be collected independently of physical access or perceived newsworthiness, with imagery tied to known times and georeferenced locations. | OBSERVATIONAL | Supported |
| The Nature Analysis proposed three ways to integrate text-based and satellite-derived conflict data—improvement, enrichment and fusion—to broaden violence measurement beyond fatality-centric research. | DEFINITIONAL | Supported |
| The study estimated that at least 6.5% of cases would have different outcomes under random reassignment of cases to panels. | QUANTITATIVE | Supported |
| The study estimated that at least 38% of Ninth Circuit cases in its dataset could have different outcomes based solely on panel assignment. | QUANTITATIVE | Supported |
| The study's model attributes higher observed polarization under lower turnout to underrepresentation of centrist voters and overrepresentation of ideological extremes when a centrist governing coalition is expected. | CAUSAL | Leans supported |
| In the study's Dutch election analysis, lower voter turnout was associated with higher observed electoral polarization, with more extreme parties benefiting disproportionately. | COMPARATIVE | Supported |
| In the reported firm-level study, corporate social-responsibility engagement subsequently reduced future business risk. | CAUSAL | Supported |
| In the reported firm-level study, trade frictions, proxied by trade-remedy investigations, were associated with increased corporate social-responsibility engagement. | CAUSAL | Supported |
| Donald Trump leaked the planted false intelligence from France and Ukraine to Vladimir Putin. | HISTORICAL | Contradicted |
| Ukraine deliberately fed Donald Trump false intelligence as a test of whether he would leak it to Vladimir Putin. | HISTORICAL | Contradicted |
| France deliberately fed Donald Trump false intelligence as a test of whether he would leak it to Vladimir Putin. | HISTORICAL | Insufficient evidence |
| Trump announced the press ban because he knows the only way to hide his poor polling and his presidential failures is to stop the media from reporting the truth. | CAUSAL | Unresolved |
| Trump is polling terribly ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. | OBSERVATIONAL | Supported |
| Senator Chuck Schumer wrote that Donald Trump just did what dictators throughout history have done. | TEXTUAL | Supported |
| Representative Jim McGovern said fascist and communist governments limit press access to favorable outlets, persecute journalists and suppress truthful reporting, and that Trump's administration is doing all of that. | TEXTUAL | Supported |
| Sanders jumped in on her own initiative to defend the president and his press ban. | OBSERVATIONAL | Contradicted |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders, who served as Trump's press secretary in his first term and is now governor of Arkansas, was present in the Oval Office on September 18, 2026 and defended the press ban. | OBSERVATIONAL | Supported |
| In China the Communist Party controls all media, there is no independent press, and the Chinese people have no access to information about their own country unless the government has approved it. | OBSERVATIONAL | Supported |
| Trump compared the United States' treatment of the press to China's. | INTERPRETIVE | Supported |
| Trump replied that he did not know about that, that he thinks the United States is repressive also, that the country gets fake news, and that it does not repress but they write fake news. | TEXTUAL | Supported |
| AFP's Danny Kemp asked Trump what signal the ban sent given Xi Jinping's White House visit in the coming weeks and China's record on journalists. | OBSERVATIONAL | Supported |
| The Mercer family financially supported Trump's presidential rise from the beginning. | HISTORICAL | Supported |
| On September 19, 2026 reporters from CNN, MS NOW and Politico were denied access to White House grounds following Trump's announced ban. | HISTORICAL | Supported |
| Asked what the ban would mean in practice, including whether badges would be taken or the outlets barred from the pool, Trump did not specify. | OBSERVATIONAL | Supported |
| Trump said it was a very simple ban, that he did not want the outlets in his office or at the White House, that the ban would go as far as you can, and that he would love it if they straightened themselves out. | TEXTUAL | Supported |
| When reporters asked Trump about the ban, he had already forgotten what he had just announced. | INTERPRETIVE | Unresolved |
| Asked what the ban would look like, Trump said he was involved in many bans and had more bans going than any human being. | TEXTUAL | Supported |
| Trump posted the ban announcement on Truth Social less than half an hour before the Oval Office event. | OBSERVATIONAL | Unresolved |
| Trump's Truth Social announcement said media outlets should not be able to constantly write or report fiction and lies when covering the President, the Trump Administration or the United States. | TEXTUAL | Supported |
| Trump's end goal is complete control of everything Americans see and hear. | INTERPRETIVE | Unresolved |
| At the September 18, 2026 Oval Office event Trump told a story about grabbing Melania Trump's bottom on an escalator. | OBSERVATIONAL | Supported |
| Trump left for a weekend at Camp David directly after the September 18, 2026 Oval Office event. | OBSERVATIONAL | Supported |
| Trump's September 18, 2026 Oval Office event began at 3:29 p.m. | OBSERVATIONAL | Contradicted |
| The September 18, 2026 Oval Office session was a press conference Trump held to announce the press ban. | OBSERVATIONAL | Contradicted |
| Trump's attacks on the press are helping create the biggest blue wave in a very long time. | FORECAST | Not assessed |
| Trump's aim in banning news outlets is complete control of what Americans see and hear. | INTERPRETIVE | Unresolved |
| September 18, 2026 fell 46 days before the November 3, 2026 midterm elections. | QUANTITATIVE | Supported |
| At the September 18, 2026 Oval Office event Trump took credit for foreign leaders being elected to office. | OBSERVATIONAL | Leans supported |
| Trump provided no detail about the 50-state drug pricing deal he announced at the September 18, 2026 Oval Office event. | OBSERVATIONAL | Contradicted |
| At the same event Trump announced that all 50 states had signed on to a most-favored-nation program to lower prescription drug prices. | HISTORICAL | Supported |
| Trump's remark about Jewish and Black voters came in an answer about the streamer Hasan Piker, not in his remarks about the press ban. | TEXTUAL | Supported |
| Trump said it is not believable, and not possible in a world of rationality, that a Jewish person or a Black person could vote for a Democrat. | TEXTUAL | Supported |
| Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk, Sundar Pichai and Michael Dell are on the announced guest list for the Xi Jinping state dinner. | HISTORICAL | Supported |
| Xi Jinping's state visit to the White House is scheduled for September 23-24, 2026, the week after Trump's September 18 remarks. | HISTORICAL | Contradicted |
| Trump said the state dinner for Xi Jinping is a very tough ticket and that he has told good friends of his that they cannot come. | TEXTUAL | Supported |
| Asked about Xi Jinping's visit and China's record on journalists, Trump said he did not know about that and that the United States is repressive also. | TEXTUAL | Supported |
| In the Oval Office on September 18, 2026, Trump referred to his own action as the ban on the free press. | TEXTUAL | Supported |
| On September 18, 2026, Donald Trump announced on Truth Social that CNN, MS NOW and Politico were barred from the White House, saying other outlets would follow. | HISTORICAL | Supported |
| Van Jones was a CNN political commentator in 2024. | HISTORICAL | Supported |
| The meme compresses the interview into a continuous Van Jones quotation even though Chris Cillizza interjected between 'the House' and 'the Supreme Court.' | TEXTUAL | Supported |
| Van Jones made the remarks attributed to him in the meme during a December 2024 interview with Chris Cillizza. | TEXTUAL | Supported |
| Trump’s takeover caused the Kennedy Center’s current financial crisis. | CAUSAL | Supported |
| Trump appointed himself chairman of the Kennedy Center in February 2025. | HISTORICAL | Supported |
| Trump fired the Kennedy Center’s board when he took control in February 2025. | HISTORICAL | Supported |
| People should have more children, and building fully integrated childcare that lowers the cost of raising them is the single biggest thing anyone could do for humanity. | NORMATIVE | Not assessed |
| China is moving to robots out of necessity because of the demographic consequences of its one child policy, with Japan as the earlier preview. | CAUSAL | Supported |
| Longevity should be treated as economic policy rather than a luxury, because a healthy 80-year-old is an economic contributor rather than a pension liability. | NORMATIVE | Not assessed |
| Fewer working-age people supporting more retirees will put severe economic pressure on pensions and healthcare in every developed economy. | FORECAST | Not assessed |
| Andrew Yang has said there will be a large resurgence of the skilled trades. | ATTRIBUTED_BELIEF | Supported |
| The United States government should run a massive infrastructure programme to build 100 million robots owned by the people. | NORMATIVE | Not assessed |
| The predicted wave of white collar job disruption did not happen because the big AI labs actively chose against it under pressure from the White House. | CAUSAL | Contradicted |
| South Korea has announced universal AI access for all its people through a consortium. | OBSERVATIONAL | Supported |
| China is the bellwether for universal basic compute, and state-issued redistribution of AI tokens will eventually extend to all of humanity. | FORECAST | Not assessed |
| Crypto tokens are essentially irrelevant in China. | OBSERVATIONAL | Contradicted |
| The average Chinese person together with their AI will be smarter than the average American together with theirs. | FORECAST | Not assessed |
| A rampant anti-AI counterculture will emerge in the United States, probably led by Bernie Sanders. | FORECAST | Not assessed |
| Competitive pressure between the United States and China means AI development will not stop. | INTERPRETIVE | Supported |
| AI will break existing world government structures, and that outcome is desirable. | NORMATIVE | Not assessed |
| There is no mechanism by which AI progress can be slowed down. | INTERPRETIVE | Contradicted |
| The next generation of beyond-human-capability models needs ingredient standards for training data, and sources such as Reddit should be excluded. | NORMATIVE | Not assessed |
| Pachocki called for voluntary slowdowns to become commonplace until shared safety bars are established, and for international coordination on AI to become a top priority for governments. | ATTRIBUTED_BELIEF | Supported |
| Pachocki wrote that he believes no lab has solved alignment and monitoring sufficiently to continue responsibly scaling at maximum speed for much longer. | ATTRIBUTED_BELIEF | Insufficient evidence |
| AI agents should be governed like air traffic control, with operating envelopes, redundancy, layered safety, exception monitoring, logging, failover and rollback rather than per-decision human supervision. | NORMATIVE | Not assessed |
| A kill switch will not be built into any open source AI model. | FORECAST | Not assessed |
| OpenAI said no clear standard yet exists for reporting misalignment during training, evaluation and deployment, and that it is working on a framework to publish in the coming weeks. | OBSERVATIONAL | Supported |
Galedra