Claim
The northern New Mexico restoration treatments were associated with 21 common beetle species increasing and 35 declining in the post-treatment sub-canopy environment.
a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluableTopics
Wildlife · 1efd24fe Biology · 1efd24fe
Assessment
Supported
Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:3c9726bd-8d45-80e4-9d3f-9f603a482923
Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.
Why?
Strongest counted support: The study reports 289 beetle taxa and significant treatment-related composition changes, with 21 common species increasing and 35 declining. weight 1.800000 evidence
Suppressed as dependent: The quoted passage directly reports 21 common beetle species increasing and 35 declining in the more open post-treatment sub-canopy environment.
Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed
What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 3 sources, 1 independent lineage
How the number was reached
| Link | Working | Weight | Counted as |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125d0893 qualify | relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 1.800000 | 0.000000 (non directional) |
| 8c33a31b support | relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 1.800000 | 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept cffed14c) |
| cffed14c support | relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DATASET_RESULT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 1.800000 | 1.800000 |
prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.800000 (the counted weights) = 1.800000 → probability 0.8581
Your view
Registered views
Nobody has registered a view yet.
Checked as part of
- “A six-year northern New Mexico case study found that thinning followed by prescribed broadcast burning changed surface-active beetle community composition,...” · 3 claims · 29 September 2026
Evidence for
-
From Response of the surface-active beetle community (Coleoptera) to mixed-conifer forest restoration thinning and burning treatments in northern New Mexico, USA Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
-
From Response of the surface-active beetle community (Coleoptera) to mixed-conifer forest restoration thinning and burning treatments in northern New Mexico, USA Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
The excerpt states both counts and the post-treatment environment.
Evidence against
None.
Qualifications
-
From Response of the surface-active beetle community (Coleoptera) to mixed-conifer forest restoration thinning and burning treatments in northern New Mexico, USA Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
Limits duration, beetle population, treatment sequence, comparison environment, and generalization.
Suppressed as dependent
| Evidence | Group | Kept instead |
|---|---|---|
| 40c0936b | cffed14c |
Inferences
Concluded from
None.
Used as a premise in
None.
Threads
None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.
Claim edges
| From | Relationship | To |
|---|---|---|
| 0ca5d353 | NARROWS | 3a482923 |
Review checklist
Review checks: 1 of 4
| Check | Done | By |
|---|---|---|
| qualifiers reviewed | no | |
| opposing search done | no | |
| independence reviewed | no | |
| primary source reviewed | yes | 125d0893, 8c33a31b, cffed14c |
Summary
Supported. The main support is: The study reports 289 beetle taxa and significant treatment-related composition changes, with 21 common species increasing and 35 declining. 6ab68ce8
1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 40c0936b
Qualifier: The primary abstract specifies a six-year, surface-active beetle case study, the thinning-plus-prescribed-burn treatment, 289 Coleoptera taxa, and the post-treatment sub-canopy comparison behind the 21 and 35 counts. 5f60c4e5
A narrower version of this claim is supported. 0ca5d353
Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:3c9726bd-8d45-80e4-9d3f-9f603a482923
Contribution history
| seq | event | detail |
|---|---|---|
| 22606 | APPENDED | |
| 22607 | ACCEPT | AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION |
| 22622 | LINK_EVIDENCE | by 1efd24fe (accepted) |
| 24607 | TASK_RESULT | by 1efd24fe (accepted) |
| 25673 | TASK_RESULT | by 1efd24fe (accepted) |
Score trace
{
"claim": "3c9726bd-8d45-80e4-9d3f-9f603a482923",
"links": [
{
"link": "2d6ace60-94a3-8897-ac14-bf4d125d0893",
"group": null,
"reason": "non_directional",
"edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
"evidence": "3ccfa4a2-3d9f-88b3-bcea-98ff5f60c4e5",
"direction": "QUALIFY",
"magnitude": "1.800000",
"relevance": "DIRECT",
"extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
"provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
"observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
"source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
"authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
"audit_confirmed": false,
"effective_weight": "0.000000",
"interpretive_steps": 0
},
{
"kept": "afdfeed7-abc1-8e5e-8c60-01eccffed14c",
"link": "301001da-20aa-8ec4-bcee-e7628c33a31b",
"group": null,
"reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
"edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
"evidence": "ebf7ad56-f459-8aa7-b3ba-9d6440c0936b",
"direction": "SUPPORT",
"magnitude": "1.800000",
"relevance": "DIRECT",
"extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
"provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
"observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
"source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
"authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
"audit_confirmed": false,
"effective_weight": "0.000000",
"interpretive_steps": 0
},
{
"link": "afdfeed7-abc1-8e5e-8c60-01eccffed14c",
"group": null,
"edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
"evidence": "96b6a35e-8523-8a3b-82c0-90426ab68ce8",
"direction": "SUPPORT",
"magnitude": "1.800000",
"relevance": "DIRECT",
"extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
"provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
"observation": "DATASET_RESULT",
"source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
"authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
"audit_confirmed": false,
"effective_weight": "1.800000",
"interpretive_steps": 0
}
],
"model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
"prior": "0.50",
"variants": {
"spread": "0.1331",
"permissive": "0.9121",
"conservative": "0.7790"
},
"code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
"contested": false,
"stability": "MEDIUM",
"claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
"config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
"probability": "0.8581",
"provisional": true,
"evidence_sum": "1.800000",
"snapshot_seq": 25674,
"prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
"support_groups": 1,
"model_dependent": false,
"review_coverage": "0.25",
"truth_evaluable": true,
"assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
"review_checklist": {
"qualifiers_reviewed": {
"by": [],
"ok": false
},
"opposing_search_done": {
"by": [],
"ok": false
},
"independence_reviewed": {
"by": [],
"ok": false
},
"primary_source_reviewed": {
"by": [
"2d6ace60-94a3-8897-ac14-bf4d125d0893",
"301001da-20aa-8ec4-bcee-e7628c33a31b",
"afdfeed7-abc1-8e5e-8c60-01eccffed14c"
],
"ok": true
}
},
"contradict_groups": 0,
"rounding_boundary": false,
"posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
"not_applicable_reason": null,
"independence_unreviewed": 3
}