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Claim

In the study's MIRA-v2 evaluation, diagnostic behavioral consistency had AUC 0.860 for correctness discrimination and 0.875 under stress testing; a 0.90 threshold retained 49.4% of cases at 98.9% diagnostic accuracy.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 15049 · qualifiers {"population":"Retrospective benchmark evaluation of an on-premise clinical AI agent; retained-set accuracy and coverage are benchmark operating characteristics, not evidence of clinical safety."}

30 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 110 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 83, shared 26. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

AI · 1efd24fe Medicine · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8808 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 2 by the author only

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 2 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:40d4b069-f547-8da6-a229-2ebb5c8407b3

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.Every quoted passage was confirmed on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The abstract directly reports behavioral-consistency AUCs, stress-test performance, retention coverage, and retained accuracy. weight 2.000000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt directly reports both consistency AUCs and the 0.90 threshold's retained coverage and accuracy.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8808 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 2 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:fc107b623d755913e2d35fa2481254e1661c3f6e8aa5b2f988ad55092dd7d19c

Last changed at entry seq 15329; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
b82b3ed3 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 2.000000
7e96961e support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept b82b3ed3)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 2.000000 (the counted weights) = 2.000000 → probability 0.8808

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.8022 to 0.9309, a spread of 0.1287.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
6beddfb7b82b3ed3

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyesb82b3ed3, 7e96961e

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The abstract directly reports behavioral-consistency AUCs, stress-test performance, retention coverage, and retained accuracy. ee265d19

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 6beddfb7

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. adeb135f

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:40d4b069-f547-8da6-a229-2ebb5c8407b3

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
15049APPENDED
15050ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
15059LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
15065TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "40d4b069-f547-8da6-a229-2ebb5c8407b3",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "c5d8ef0f-8eb3-8d79-93ef-97d8b82b3ed3",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "6a304cb2-f12e-88d4-8eb0-0b34ee265d19",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "2.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "c5d8ef0f-8eb3-8d79-93ef-97d8b82b3ed3",
      "link": "ef307b57-1d87-81be-909e-96907e96961e",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "0a7e62b1-8817-8fd1-88c1-a9cb6beddfb7",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1287",
    "permissive": "0.9309",
    "conservative": "0.8022"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8808",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "2.000000",
  "snapshot_seq": 15329,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
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      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "2.000000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}