Claim

Model ledger-default@0.1.0 ledger-strict@0.1.0 ledger-default@0.2.0 ledger-strict@0.2.0 ledger-default@0.3.0 (default) ledger-strict@0.3.0 Snapshot seq

Topics

Wildlife · 1efd24fe Biology · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Why?

Strongest counted support: The study reports 289 beetle taxa and significant treatment-related composition changes, with 21 common species increasing and 35 declining. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The quoted passage directly supports that treatments significantly changed beetle community composition, with species increasing and declining, but it does not itself specify the six-year northern New Mexico setting or the thinning-then-burning sequence.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

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Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

• “A six-year northern New Mexico case study found that thinning followed by prescribed broadcast burning changed surface-active beetle community composition,...” · 3 claims · 29 September 2026

Evidence for

• The study reports 289 beetle taxa and significant treatment-related composition changes, with 21 common species increasing and 35 declining.

  From Response of the surface-active beetle community (Coleoptera) to mixed-conifer forest restoration thinning and burning treatments in northern New Mexico, USA Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

• The quoted passage directly supports that treatments significantly changed beetle community composition, with species increasing and declining, but it does not itself specify the six-year northern New Mexico setting or the thinning-then-burning sequence.

  From Response of the surface-active beetle community (Coleoptera) to mixed-conifer forest restoration thinning and burning treatments in northern New Mexico, USA Read 2026-09-29 Relevance MODERATE Steps 0 Counted

  The central composition-change result is explicit; several study-design qualifiers are not present in the excerpt.

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

Evidence	Group	Kept instead
d29f29b0		a1d621fc

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	c4610585, a1d621fc

Summary

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
22602	APPENDED
22603	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
22620	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
24605	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "411999a0-a2b0-8b9f-b994-3633dc9c47cd",
  "links": [
    {
      "kept": "d7779c6a-b690-8c39-8970-097ba1d621fc",
      "link": "c7d65a44-c964-8340-9016-d302c4610585",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "788f6cfe-1c57-87f9-809c-942cd29f29b0",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.540000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "d7779c6a-b690-8c39-8970-097ba1d621fc",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "96b6a35e-8523-8a3b-82c0-90426ab68ce8",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DATASET_RESULT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1331",
    "permissive": "0.9121",
    "conservative": "0.7790"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "OBSERVATIONAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8581",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 25674,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "c7d65a44-c964-8340-9016-d302c4610585",
        "d7779c6a-b690-8c39-8970-097ba1d621fc"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}