Claim

The Hindu Kush Heremites lineage was estimated to have split from related western clades in the Late Miocene approximately 10 million years ago and is currently known from two southern-Hindu-Kush foothill localities.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 20557 · qualifiers {"scope":"Estimate and known distribution reported by the 2026 integrative taxonomic study."}

32 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 103 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 81, shared 21. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Biology · 1efd24fe Wildlife · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8808 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 1 by the author only

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 5 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:67b67b49-87d7-8582-b3ec-47f714d6a41f

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.A quoted passage from zookeys.pensoft.net was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The primary abstract directly reports the approximate 10-million-year split estimate and two-locality current range. weight 2.000000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The passage directly reports a Late Miocene split at approximately 10 Mya and a current range known from two southern-Hindu-Kush foothill localities.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8808 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 5 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:6081ef3002e92833ce5b4410382e83a230b20382514bb3d4267a5a378f80f0f1

Last changed at entry seq 26034; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

Link	Working	Weight	Counted as
5efa95d9 qualify	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	0.000000 (non directional)
c72edd6e support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept f72bc2e6)
9afde48d qualify	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	0.000000 (non directional)
f72bc2e6 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	2.000000	2.000000
016d22d8 qualify	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	0.000000 (non directional)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 2.000000 (the counted weights) = 2.000000 → probability 0.8808

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.8022 to 0.9309, a spread of 0.1287.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

“An integrative ZooKeys study combining mitochondrial screening, a six-locus phylogeny, nuclear allele networks, and morphology recognized the Hindu Kush...” · 2 claims · 29 September 2026

Evidence for

The primary abstract directly reports the approximate 10-million-year split estimate and two-locality current range.

From A new species of Heremites Gray, 1845 (Squamata, Scincidae) from the transboundary Hindu Kush foothills Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
The passage directly reports a Late Miocene split at approximately 10 Mya and a current range known from two southern-Hindu-Kush foothill localities.

From A new species of Heremites Gray, 1845 (Squamata, Scincidae) from the transboundary Hindu Kush foothills Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

The timing and two-locality distribution match the claim.

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

The split estimate is framed against the study’s four recovered clades, including H. auratus and the H. septemtaeniatus and H. vittatus complexes.

From A new species of Heremites Gray, 1845 (Squamata, Scincidae) from the transboundary Hindu Kush foothills Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
Approximately 10 million years is an inferred Late Miocene split estimate, not a directly observed divergence date.

From A new species of Heremites Gray, 1845 (Squamata, Scincidae) from the transboundary Hindu Kush foothills Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
Two southern-Hindu-Kush foothill localities are the currently known records, not necessarily the full geographic range.

From A new species of Heremites Gray, 1845 (Squamata, Scincidae) from the transboundary Hindu Kush foothills Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Suppressed as dependent

Evidence	Group	Kept instead
618d0136		f72bc2e6

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	5efa95d9, c72edd6e, 9afde48d, f72bc2e6, 016d22d8

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The primary abstract directly reports the approximate 10-million-year split estimate and two-locality current range. d4c54a32

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 618d0136

Qualifier: Approximately 10 million years is an inferred Late Miocene split estimate, not a directly observed divergence date. 3ef9ea04

Qualifier: Two southern-Hindu-Kush foothill localities are the currently known records, not necessarily the full geographic range. 2983c439

Qualifier: The split estimate is framed against the study’s four recovered clades, including H. auratus and the H. septemtaeniatus and H. vittatus complexes. 5137e6f9

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:67b67b49-87d7-8582-b3ec-47f714d6a41f

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
20557	APPENDED
20558	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
20567	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
24817	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
26033	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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  "variants": {
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  "contested": false,
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