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Claim

In the pre-pandemic 2015–2020 period, existing links in the global rock-phosphate trade network tended to persist while new ties appeared infrequently.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 15802 · qualifiers {"time_range":"2015–2020 (pre-pandemic)","source_edition":"99415cf3-e428-8b98-b2a5-39782d1d10cd"}

Referenced 103 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 68, shared 33. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Markets · 1efd24fe Energy · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 2 by the author only

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:79b6f915-dcaa-898e-90af-cd4f435c5e8f

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.Every quoted passage was confirmed on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The study reports persistent existing trade links and infrequent formation of new links during 2015–2020. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The primary study directly reports persistent existing trade links and infrequent new ties in the 2015–2020 global rock-phosphate network.; The quoted passage directly reports persistence of existing links and infrequent appearance of new ties in the trade network.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

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Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
0c3b8a6eb9944ebb
c2b30e55b9944ebb

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyesba609763, ca6a153c, b9944ebb

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The study reports persistent existing trade links and infrequent formation of new links during 2015–2020. 88c5059d

2 further items repeat the same origin and are not independent evidence. 0c3b8a6ec2b30e55

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. 56d253bc

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:79b6f915-dcaa-898e-90af-cd4f435c5e8f

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
15802APPENDED
15803ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
15812LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
15816TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
17662LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)