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Claim

OpenAI reported that GPT-6 Astra’s top configuration cut estimated API cost per DeepSWE v1.1 task by about 57% versus GPT-5.6 Sol.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 12309 · qualifiers {"time_range":"As reported in the retrieved article; benchmark comparison is DeepSWE v1.1.","source_edition":"4869b4ae-56f4-8d3c-81ba-58e123c1f6d3"}

Referenced 97 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 71, shared 25. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

AI · 1efd24fe Prices and inflation · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 2 by the author only

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:8baa665b-1e74-832f-852c-ef6d94ede15b

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The Decoder quotes OpenAI as reporting about a 57% lower estimated API cost per DeepSWE v1.1 task for Astra versus Sol. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The passage directly states that Astra’s top configuration cut estimated DeepSWE v1.1 API cost per task by about 57% versus Sol.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 3 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:0ae5427785e0e373c3db6093b33f690e5ebefe6545d7311988d183386c05fc3e

Last changed at entry seq 12439; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
26ff3c78 qualify relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.459000 0.000000 (non directional)
a7204926 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 5833b342)
5833b342 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.800000 (the counted weights) = 1.800000 → probability 0.8581

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7790 to 0.9121, a spread of 0.1331.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
e1967de65833b342

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes26ff3c78

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The Decoder quotes OpenAI as reporting about a 57% lower estimated API cost per DeepSWE v1.1 task for Astra versus Sol. ff8b31e6

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. e1967de6

Qualifier: Independent Analysis finds Astra about 15% more expensive per task than Sol at max effort on its Coding Agent Index. ba4180f8

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. bbf66672

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:8baa665b-1e74-832f-852c-ef6d94ede15b

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
12309APPENDED
12310ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
12315LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
12336TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
12438TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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  "links": [
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      "link": "c9583adc-3a56-8856-827c-682126ff3c78",
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      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.459000",
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      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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      "source_type": "MEASUREMENT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
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      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "kept": "f0765792-e783-8631-938b-1e5e5833b342",
      "link": "ec560d3a-809c-805e-af64-ac6ea7204926",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
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      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
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      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "f0765792-e783-8631-938b-1e5e5833b342",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "c2584b7f-448b-8907-becf-63f0ff8b31e6",
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  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1331",
    "permissive": "0.9121",
    "conservative": "0.7790"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8581",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 12439,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
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      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
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    "primary_source_reviewed": {
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      "ok": true
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  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 3
}