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Topics · Economics

Prices and inflation

As of snapshot 27745 under ledger-default@0.3.0. Counts by assessment state, descriptive only: no topic is scored. 1 Insufficient evidence1 Leans supported2 Not assessed8 Supported

ClaimTypeAssessment
The model reports that responding to shelter-inclusive inflation can increase the output cost of disinflation when tightening itself raises rents, while excluding shelter lowers that cost.CAUSALLeans supported
In the model and empirical motivation, contractionary monetary policy raises US housing rents even as house prices fall because tighter credit shifts demand toward renting and rental supply reallocates slowly.CAUSALSupported
The Brookings paper reports that adverse global oil-supply shocks no longer reliably generate U.S. recessions after the country’s shift to net oil exports.COMPARATIVESupported
The Decoder reported that maximum-reasoning ARC-AGI-3 testing for GPT-6 Astra cost about $26,098 versus $49,791 with no reasoning, while the score rose from 35.2% to 62.7%.QUANTITATIVESupported
The Decoder reported that GPT-6 Astra reached 62.7% on ARC-AGI-3 at a test cost of roughly $26,000.QUANTITATIVESupported
OpenAI reported that GPT-6 Astra’s top configuration cut estimated API cost per DeepSWE v1.1 task by about 57% versus GPT-5.6 Sol.QUANTITATIVESupported
At Tesla's October 2024 Cybercab unveiling, Elon Musk said the vehicle would cost under $30,000.HISTORICALSupported
The Tesla Cybercab is projected to cost $30,000.QUANTITATIVEInsufficient evidence
AI will never become too cheap to meter, because use cases expand as fast as unit costs fall.FORECASTNot assessed
Moonshots Live tickets cost $1,500, with 100 scholarships set aside for young builders.QUANTITATIVESupported
Inference price-performance will improve 100-fold between September 2026 and the end of 2026, and possibly a million-fold the following year.FORECASTNot assessed
By at least one estimate, the inference compute for OpenAI's Navier-Stokes result cost approximately $6.5 million.QUANTITATIVESupported