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Claim

Inference price-performance will improve 100-fold between September 2026 and the end of 2026, and possibly a million-fold the following year.

Type FORECAST · truth-evaluable: no (UNRESOLVED_FORECAST) · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 1909

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 106 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 103, shared 2. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

AI · 03192ed8 Prices and inflation · 03192ed8

Assessment

Not assessed

1 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted

0 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability n/a

This is a forecast that has not resolved yet.

Main unresolved issue: 7 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:0cca7ef2-4f7b-8a71-ad83-8159ada9b9e7

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Related: NARROWS incoming: Not assessed

Why?

Review gaps: opposing search done, independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

Show calculation

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Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

FromRelationshipTo
e24223f6NARROWSada9b9e7

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes46312863
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Not assessed. This is a forecast that has not resolved yet. coverage:0cca7ef2-4f7b-8a71-ad83-8159ada9b9e7

A narrower version of this claim is not assessed. e24223f6

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:0cca7ef2-4f7b-8a71-ad83-8159ada9b9e7

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
1909APPENDED
1910ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
2095LINK_EVIDENCEby 03192ed8 (accepted)
3720TASK_RESULTby 03192ed8 (accepted)
4032TASK_RESULTby 03192ed8 (accepted)
10773TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
11770TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)