Claim

Model ledger-default@0.1.0 ledger-strict@0.1.0 ledger-default@0.2.0 ledger-strict@0.2.0 ledger-default@0.3.0 (default) ledger-strict@0.3.0 Snapshot seq

Topics

AI · 03192ed8

Assessment

Why?

Strongest counted support: TIME reports that Altman expected OpenAI to have an internal system he would call AGI by the end of 2026. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: Speaker recalls the programme reporting on 1 September that Altman expects AGI internally by end of 2026.; The excerpt directly reports that Sam Altman expects OpenAI to reach AGI internally by the end of 2026.

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

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Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

• “Sam Altman expects OpenAI to reach AGI internally by the end of 2026.” · 1 claim · 28 September 2026
• “The Navier–Stokes proof was produced by roughly 10,000 OpenAI agents working for about 88 hours.” · 16 claims · 20 September 2026

Evidence for

• Diamandis recalls reporting on 1 September that Altman expects internal AGI by end of 2026.

  From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance WEAK Steps 2 Counted

  The host citing the show's own earlier reporting, not Altman directly.

• Speaker recalls the programme reporting on 1 September that Altman expects AGI internally by end of 2026.

  From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance MODERATE Steps 1 Counted

  Passage states the attributed belief and its timeframe, but as the programme citing its own earlier report rather than Altman directly, so it is one origin repeated, not corroboration.

• TIME reports Altman expected an internal OpenAI system he would call AGI by the end of 2026.

  From Inside OpenAI’s Reboot Read 2026-09-22 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted

  This is an attributed forecast under Altman's personal definition, not an established AGI threshold.

• The excerpt directly reports that Sam Altman expects OpenAI to reach AGI internally by the end of 2026.

  From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted

• TIME reports that Altman expected OpenAI to have an internal system he would call AGI by the end of 2026.

  From Inside OpenAI’s Reboot Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

• TIME directly reports Altman’s expectation about an internal system he would call AGI by the end of 2026; this verifies the attributed forecast, not whether the system will meet an objective or shared AGI standard.

  From Inside OpenAI’s Reboot Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted

  Primary interview report directly supports the attribution and preserves its subjective-definition caveat.

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

• The source attributes the year-end expectation to Altman and explicitly says the system is not yet there; it also notes AGI has no precise definition.

  From Sam Altman says OpenAI will have AGI by the end of 2026 if you accept his definition Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

  The claim is an attributed forecast whose meaning depends on an internally chosen AGI definition.

Suppressed as dependent

Evidence	Group	Kept instead
f600d902		cec5de67
fb92a18a		cec5de67

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

From	Relationship	To
1b0ef4bc	NARROWS	b80f9a29

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	yes	36bd170f
opposing search done	yes	b1724d0a
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	3136ef4f

Summary

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
1683	APPENDED
1684	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
1777	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 03192ed8 (accepted)
3800	TASK_RESULT	by 03192ed8 (accepted)
5277	TASK_RESULT	by 56fe4c61 (accepted)
7822	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
7878	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
9038	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
12626	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)