Claim
The reported 223/294 feasibility and 197/223 acceptance figures are outputs of a modeled three-node Earth–Apex–Moon logistics framework for a 10^8-tonne stress-test target; 88.3% is conditional on analytical feasibility, while separate regime frequencies use 500 accepted Latin-hypercube campaigns.
37 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluableTopics
Not filed under any topic yet.
Assessment
Supported
Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:9659ea95-fb3f-8889-9be8-6bc3e702ed88
Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.
Why?
Strongest counted support: Among 294 structured modeled cases, 223 were feasible and 197 met numerical criteria, yielding 88.3% conditionally. weight 1.400000 evidence
Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed
What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans contradicted.
Your view
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Evidence for
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From A reliability-aware framework for campaign-scale lunar construction logistics with space-elevator transshipment Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
Supports the model architecture and logistics scenarios.
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From A reliability-aware framework for campaign-scale lunar construction logistics with space-elevator transshipment Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
Supports the stated stress-test target.
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From A reliability-aware framework for campaign-scale lunar construction logistics with space-elevator transshipment Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
Directly supports the feasibility, acceptance, denominator, and conditional-rate figures.
Evidence against
None.
Qualifications
None.
Suppressed as dependent
None.
Inferences
Concluded from
None.
Used as a premise in
None.
Threads
None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.
Claim edges
| From | Relationship | To |
|---|---|---|
| e702ed88 | NARROWS | 96af3ed5 |
Review checklist
Review checks: 1 of 4
| Check | Done | By |
|---|---|---|
| qualifiers reviewed | no | |
| opposing search done | no | |
| independence reviewed | no | |
| primary source reviewed | yes | f5d34dff, 1df0d31a, 5cf637c5 |
Summary
Supported. The main support is: Among 294 structured modeled cases, 223 were feasible and 197 met numerical criteria, yielding 88.3% conditionally. 64f4bbac
A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. b4b31fda
Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:9659ea95-fb3f-8889-9be8-6bc3e702ed88
Contribution history
| seq | event | detail |
|---|---|---|
| 25577 | APPENDED | |
| 25578 | ACCEPT | AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION |
| 25581 | TASK_RESULT | by 1efd24fe (accepted) |