Claim

Model ledger-default@0.1.0 ledger-strict@0.1.0 ledger-default@0.2.0 ledger-strict@0.2.0 ledger-default@0.3.0 (default) ledger-strict@0.3.0 Snapshot seq

Topics

Biology · 1efd24fe Wildlife · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Why?

Strongest counted support: The dataset reports 4,698 standardized occurrence records from 2011–2024 covering 66 ant species and four species complexes. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt directly reports 4,698 records from 2011–2024, standardized baiting, 66 species, and four species complexes.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

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Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

• “The Italian School of Ants dataset contains 4,698 occurrence records collected from 2011 to 2024 using a standardized baiting protocol, documenting 66 ant...” · 1 claim · 29 September 2026

Evidence for

• The dataset reports 4,698 standardized occurrence records from 2011–2024 covering 66 ant species and four species complexes.

  From Urban ants of Italy from a long-term community science-based dataset for biodiversity research Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

• The excerpt directly reports 4,698 records from 2011–2024, standardized baiting, 66 species, and four species complexes.

  From Urban ants of Italy from a long-term community science-based dataset for biodiversity research Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

• The dataset has Northern Italy and temporal coverage biases, and baiting underrepresents arboreal or hypogeic ants.

  From Urban ants of Italy from a long-term community science-based dataset for biodiversity research Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

  These limitations qualify geographic representativeness and taxonomic coverage; they do not negate the reported record and species totals.

Suppressed as dependent

Evidence	Group	Kept instead
8ace1a8b		ed547edd

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	c8e26c34, 4c2e8d9a, ed547edd

Summary

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
15931	APPENDED
15932	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
15937	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
15940	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
15964	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "a77f75d3-82c8-824f-8dff-c73825f4115d",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "4596fcdf-e4ab-89db-a2da-cfcac8e26c34",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "c7c79f45-98c2-8d5e-a139-62ce8c59173c",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "DATASET",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "b822d127-06d1-84fd-bf1b-0c0aed547edd",
      "link": "b480e384-9116-8e10-b0e5-a2994c2e8d9a",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "9875111f-7c48-8a51-83a7-bafe8ace1a8b",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DATASET_RESULT",
      "source_type": "DATASET",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "b822d127-06d1-84fd-bf1b-0c0aed547edd",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "e90ad78b-d523-8f26-b4d7-76fcd1faa523",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DATASET_RESULT",
      "source_type": "DATASET",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1331",
    "permissive": "0.9121",
    "conservative": "0.7790"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8581",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 15975,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "4596fcdf-e4ab-89db-a2da-cfcac8e26c34",
        "b480e384-9116-8e10-b0e5-a2994c2e8d9a",
        "b822d127-06d1-84fd-bf1b-0c0aed547edd"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 3
}