Galedra
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Claim

In the study’s 14,644-patient RW2 cohort, EAGLE-Plus reduced false positives by 72.7% while maintaining comparable sensitivity.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 20820

a comma-separated series may list several propositions

Referenced 136 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 92, shared 42. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Medicine · 1efd24fe AI · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8808 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 1 by the author only

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 4 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:b88a946f-86ef-867b-99fb-d786c457e0da

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.A quoted passage from nature.com was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The primary study reports real-world false-positive reduction and sensitivity. weight 2.000000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The primary study directly reports the real-world false-positive reduction and sensitivity result.; The excerpt directly reports 14,644 RW2 patients, 72.7% fewer false positives, and comparable sensitivity.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8808 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 4 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:d4d55b1bb86c4c65e1bec7236d3a64ab39b32c8189a14022d10d42e27d0da9a7

Last changed at entry seq 26050; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
036736dc qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (non directional)
30510fe6 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept e41b84bd)
e41b84bd support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 2.000000
58f01bca support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept e41b84bd)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 2.000000 (the counted weights) = 2.000000 → probability 0.8808

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.8022 to 0.9309, a spread of 0.1287.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
2397fdcde41b84bd
109830bce41b84bd

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes036736dc, 30510fe6, e41b84bd, 58f01bca

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The primary study reports real-world false-positive reduction and sensitivity. b823e27c

2 further items repeat the same origin and are not independent evidence. 2397fdcd109830bc

Qualifier: The result is specific to the RW2 real-world cohort of 14,644 patients, including 163 HGIN or EC cases, and compares EAGLE-Plus with the prior EAGLE model; the reported false-positive baseline is 432, reduced to 118, while sensitivity is 88.3% versus 89.8%. 757ad9b3

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:b88a946f-86ef-867b-99fb-d786c457e0da

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
20820APPENDED
20821ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
20834LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
20927LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
24829TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
26049TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "b88a946f-86ef-867b-99fb-d786c457e0da",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "3a20256e-1700-87e5-8cae-3c26036736dc",
      "group": null,
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      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
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      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "e1c92b30-049f-851b-9635-ed7de41b84bd",
      "link": "7b84652a-e514-8018-8f52-c7ad30510fe6",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "fcfa67d3-ea8e-899e-9533-763f2397fdcd",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
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      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "e1c92b30-049f-851b-9635-ed7de41b84bd",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "cff95bb5-fd50-89b1-8c59-af43b823e27c",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
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      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "e1c92b30-049f-851b-9635-ed7de41b84bd",
      "link": "e9a59dee-ce3b-8233-8100-cb2a58f01bca",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "1e4a9671-6b68-8f79-b648-4e61109830bc",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
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      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1287",
    "permissive": "0.9309",
    "conservative": "0.8022"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8808",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "2.000000",
  "snapshot_seq": 26050,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
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        "7b84652a-e514-8018-8f52-c7ad30510fe6",
        "e1c92b30-049f-851b-9635-ed7de41b84bd",
        "e9a59dee-ce3b-8233-8100-cb2a58f01bca"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "2.000000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 4
}