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Claim

Incendiamoeba cascadensis can reproduce by cellular division at temperatures up to 63°C.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 23660

Referenced 139 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 103, shared 35. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Biology · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9820 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

0 of 4 review checks done · 0 counted

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 0 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 2 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:c6f29e80-792f-86b4-8d57-760b9a163682

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 0 of 4 review checks have been done.Every quoted passage was confirmed on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: NASA reports that the amoeba reproduced by division at 63°C. weight 2.000000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: Reuters reports that Incendiamoeba cascadensis performed cellular division at up to 63°C.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9820 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 0 of 4 · stability HIGH · 3 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:450287f58cb8b3341d26d3cb99ad4ce1e9988e075319886703011fed34fe103d

Last changed at entry seq 23685; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
0b5d37da support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 2.000000
3615862e support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 2d16f83f)
2d16f83f support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 2.000000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 4.000000 (the counted weights) = 4.000000 → probability 0.9820

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9427 to 0.9945, a spread of 0.0518.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
ca8cfb532d16f83f

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 0 of 4

1 check by this claim's own author. No independent review yet. 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Supported. The main support is: NASA reports that the amoeba reproduced by division at 63°C. 6bcba719

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. ca8cfb53

Review checks: 0 of 4. coverage:c6f29e80-792f-86b4-8d57-760b9a163682

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
23660APPENDED
23661ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
23676LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
23678LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
23684TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "c6f29e80-792f-86b4-8d57-760b9a163682",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "0598b463-1d98-8f59-96d5-e6030b5d37da",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "db541249-9b17-8649-82af-448d6bcba719",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "2.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "740cb55c-5d11-8085-92d4-97082d16f83f",
      "link": "727314f2-4f69-8de7-b0d0-392e3615862e",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "f4dc9ac0-8af4-835f-8150-988fca8cfb53",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "740cb55c-5d11-8085-92d4-97082d16f83f",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "f4dc9ac0-8af4-835f-8150-988fca8cfb53",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "2.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0518",
    "permissive": "0.9945",
    "conservative": "0.9427"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9820",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "4.000000",
  "snapshot_seq": 23685,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 2,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.00",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "4.000000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}