Claim

Model ledger-default@0.1.0 ledger-strict@0.1.0 ledger-default@0.2.0 ledger-strict@0.2.0 ledger-default@0.3.0 (default) ledger-strict@0.3.0 Snapshot seq

Topics

Not filed under any topic yet.

Assessment

Why?

Strongest counted support: The Nature article directly reports the 20.4% total disturbance estimate and 13.6% most-disturbed estimate. weight 1.800000 evidence

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

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Evidence for

• The Nature article directly reports the 20.4% total disturbance estimate and 13.6% most-disturbed estimate.

  From Highly fragmented European wetlands with uneven restoration needs Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

  The primary source directly supports both percentages.

• The Nature article specifies natural and seminatural open wetland classes and explicitly excludes densely forested and deeply drained former wetlands.

  From Highly fragmented European wetlands with uneven restoration needs Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

  The primary source directly supports the population scope and exclusions.

• The Nature article identifies the mapped six-wetland product as a 2018 epoch.

  From Highly fragmented European wetlands with uneven restoration needs Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

  The primary source directly supports the 2018 epoch qualifier.

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

From	Relationship	To
8b5a1699	NARROWS	47c958dc

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	1821716c, 36869a28, 0646ef5f

Summary

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
23348	APPENDED
23349	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
23442	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "ca4ac900-8b56-8490-a4e7-e2908b5a1699",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "41827fec-f6a9-80de-bdaa-f63d1821716c",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "eef3c06b-259c-87cc-8fb2-0af5f717d66c",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "460f1ecd-d92e-8f09-bebb-01ad36869a28",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "8e2926b0-4c78-8f4c-a9dd-4f0fb19af4ff",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
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      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
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      "audit_confirmed": false,
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      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "59c3cdf4-fdf8-825f-b35b-e2f10646ef5f",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "7fab8fdc-11aa-80c1-9293-64113f7d3096",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
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      "audit_confirmed": false,
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      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0214",
    "permissive": "0.9991",
    "conservative": "0.9777"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "DEFINITIONAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9955",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "5.400000",
  "snapshot_seq": 23443,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 3,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
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    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
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        "59c3cdf4-fdf8-825f-b35b-e2f10646ef5f"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "5.400000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 3
}