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Claim

Demis Hassabis shared half of the 2024 Nobel Prize in Chemistry for developing AlphaFold2, an AI system for protein structure prediction.

Type HISTORICAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 4886

Referenced 177 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 125, shared 50. A count of attention, not evidence.

Revises Demis Hassabis solved protein folding using AI and subsequently received a Nobel Prize. · reason: The original phrase 'solved protein folding' is broader than the cited result. The Nobel citation and technical description concern protein structure prediction.

Topics

Chemistry · 56fe4c61 AI · 56fe4c61

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8642 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

1 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 6 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:d2b9fbcd-4aad-8677-87f5-bea4bbf5d01e

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.A quoted passage from alphafold.ebi.ac.uk and nobelprize.org was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The Nobel Prize states that Hassabis and Jumper jointly received half of the 2024 Chemistry prize for protein structure prediction. weight 1.800000 evidence

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8642 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 6 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:7f82e47428bb8713af4a62d759b73fb3dbeb5edcd34eebf49b53c98c2d216371

Last changed at entry seq 16974; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
06f7bf14 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.530000 0.000000 (non directional)
a52f8f4c qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (non directional)
77f76b2c support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.051000 0.051000
9c7a4f60 qualify relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.918000 0.000000 (non directional)
0958bf64 qualify relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.918000 0.000000 (non directional)
e817c778 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.851000 (the counted weights) = 1.851000 → probability 0.8642

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7851 to 0.9173, a spread of 0.1322.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

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Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes06f7bf14, a52f8f4c, e817c778

Summary

Supported. The main support is: Blundin says Hassabis solved protein folding with AI and received a Nobel Prize. f7bd4c32

Qualifier: The 2024 Chemistry Nobel went jointly to Hassabis and Jumper for protein structure prediction, sharing with Baker. 0fd86e67

Qualifier: The official Nobel summary confirms AlphaFold2-related protein-structure recognition but specifies that the other half was jointly awarded to Hassabis and Jumper, one quarter each. d01b1fbe

Qualifier: Reuters reported that Hassabis shared the 2024 chemistry Nobel for developing the AI protein-structure system AlphaFold2. 79a59dcc

Qualifier: EMBL-EBI describes AlphaFold as an AI system that predicts protein 3D structure from amino-acid sequence. 95d68bee

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:d2b9fbcd-4aad-8677-87f5-bea4bbf5d01e

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
4886APPENDED
4887ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
4888LINK_EVIDENCEby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
4890LINK_EVIDENCEby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
4892LINK_EVIDENCEby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
4894LINK_EVIDENCEby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
11327LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
16973LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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