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Claim

In an online 3D immersive-reality experiment with 621 participants, groups of five outperformed solitary participants in tracking a mobile resource only when payoff information was available.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 14960 · qualifiers {"population":"Online English-speaking adult participants in the study's virtual resource-tracking task; findings concern the tested group sizes and task conditions."}

26 words; atomic claims are usually under 25

Referenced 142 times: checked 4, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 71, shared 67. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Psychology · 1efd24fe Society · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9781 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 1 by the author only

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 5 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:dcd02e08-708c-86c4-880d-d1c3563e1138

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.A quoted passage from nature.com was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The abstract reports the 621-participant design and the condition-dependent group-versus-solitary performance result. weight 2.000000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt directly reports the 621-participant design, groups of five, mobile-resource task, and payoff-dependent group advantage.; The primary Nature Communications study directly reports the 621-person experiment and the condition that groups outperformed solitary participants only with payoff information.; The primary experiment reports the 621-person design and the condition under which groups outperformed solitary participants.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9781 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability HIGH · 5 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:1e40eef95fdd3345fff0eecbba2f4b97b404a22409adc9c1650a7f5ce7a903a1

Last changed at entry seq 20179; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
f93e0f66 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
20679880 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept dcc269d3)
1e4279d2 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept dcc269d3)
dcc269d3 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 2.000000
511f71b7 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept dcc269d3)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 3.800000 (the counted weights) = 3.800000 → probability 0.9781

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9346 to 0.9929, a spread of 0.0583.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
1fcfcfb7dcc269d3
a63df259dcc269d3
1e2693bcdcc269d3

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyesf93e0f66, 20679880, 1e4279d2, dcc269d3, 511f71b7

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The primary experiment reports that, in the fast-resource condition, full payoff sharing improved group performance relative to solitary participants while no payoff sharing reduced it. b3c90712

3 further items repeat the same origin and are not independent evidence. 1fcfcfb7a63df2591e2693bc

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:dcd02e08-708c-86c4-880d-d1c3563e1138

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
14960APPENDED
14961ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
14972LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
14977TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
17378LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
20130LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
20178LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "dcd02e08-708c-86c4-880d-d1c3563e1138",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "282ef8ba-5d65-8141-85e0-1c19f93e0f66",
      "group": null,
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      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "9c3ffd9b-df8d-84b3-98c5-6813dcc269d3",
      "link": "66f15eab-8927-8fff-bb1d-131320679880",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "07eff394-7bc3-878a-b179-ac901fcfcfb7",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "9c3ffd9b-df8d-84b3-98c5-6813dcc269d3",
      "link": "7bdef2a3-dc5a-8513-9a2b-05fb1e4279d2",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
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      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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    {
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      "group": null,
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      "evidence": "c50e7663-e050-8955-bf55-d3a95646a43d",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
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      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "9c3ffd9b-df8d-84b3-98c5-6813dcc269d3",
      "link": "b633bc7e-be23-8818-9d7d-cb6b511f71b7",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "5e446bf5-df3b-89a1-a679-198d1e2693bc",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0583",
    "permissive": "0.9929",
    "conservative": "0.9346"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9781",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "3.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 20179,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 2,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "282ef8ba-5d65-8141-85e0-1c19f93e0f66",
        "66f15eab-8927-8fff-bb1d-131320679880",
        "7bdef2a3-dc5a-8513-9a2b-05fb1e4279d2",
        "9c3ffd9b-df8d-84b3-98c5-6813dcc269d3",
        "b633bc7e-be23-8818-9d7d-cb6b511f71b7"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "3.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 5
}