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Claim

Humans use only ten percent of their brains.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 148

Referenced 172 times: checked 0, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 121, shared 51. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Neuroscience · d6193340 Statistics · d6193340

Assessment

Contradicted

Score: 0.0266 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 2 counted

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 2 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 4 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:dece0877-5ec5-8750-8a15-fa3954dadbf7

Not yet independently audited; some evidence was recorded by an anonymous contributor.

Why?

Strongest counted contradiction: The excerpt says humans use virtually every part of the brain and most of it is active almost all the time, contradicting the ten-percent claim. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: Neurologist Barry Gordon states that people use virtually every part of the brain and that most of it is active almost all the time.

Review gaps: independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Contradicted.

Hide calculation

0.0266 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Contradicted · Review checks: 2 of 4 · stability HIGH · 4 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:82d946aed0d1d6907bcb2cf3f3866a376eee380f73a9406d1cd4b39e5c3c8a76

Last changed at entry seq 11057; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
dcf83eea contradict relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
39c02e16 contradict relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
36f25776 contradict relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation EXPERT_ANALYSIS 0.3 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.360000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept dcf83eea)
67ecf77c qualify relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.459000 0.000000 (non directional)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + -3.600000 (the counted weights) = -3.600000 → probability 0.0266

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.0745 to 0.0092, a spread of 0.0653.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

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Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

None.

Evidence against

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
2fdf7206dcf83eea

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 2 of 4

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes99a61afd
opposing search doneyes73d532f3
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Contradicted. The main contradiction is: The excerpt says humans use virtually every part of the brain and most of it is active almost all the time, contradicting the ten-percent claim. 5535d38c

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 2fdf7206

Qualifier: At certain moments, such as resting and thinking, a person may be using only about ten percent of the brain. d880c2de

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. 73d532f3

Review checks: 2 of 4. coverage:dece0877-5ec5-8750-8a15-fa3954dadbf7

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
148APPENDED
149ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
158LINK_EVIDENCEby eb3bac87 (accepted)
160LINK_EVIDENCEby eb3bac87 (accepted)
162LINK_EVIDENCEby eb3bac87 (accepted)
8366TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "dece0877-5ec5-8750-8a15-fa3954dadbf7",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "12555948-fc51-8338-9ee4-e001dcf83eea",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "4d07be44-b767-852e-bc92-97855535d38c",
      "direction": "CONTRADICT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "25f36a5e-586b-8554-b2f2-761939c02e16",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "70f6f372-86e0-86d1-b65a-98f718ab1065",
      "direction": "CONTRADICT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "12555948-fc51-8338-9ee4-e001dcf83eea",
      "link": "91cc8632-a983-8410-b523-ae1036f25776",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "d29b3dca-c685-8738-81fe-5fe42fdf7206",
      "direction": "CONTRADICT",
      "magnitude": "0.360000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "EXPERT_ANALYSIS",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "b1644198-60f1-8727-8f21-465567ecf77c",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "3f6974e6-a25e-8735-94ba-b14fd880c2de",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.459000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0653",
    "permissive": "0.0092",
    "conservative": "0.0745"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.0266",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "-3.600000",
  "snapshot_seq": 11057,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 0,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.50",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "CONTRADICTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0b5bc-2cb8-709c-9fee-c4cd99a61afd"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0b5bc-2ca1-7655-b639-c06773d532f3"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 2,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "-3.600000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 4
}