Claim

Across 167 million U.S. online job posts covering 721 occupations, skill change was greater for lower-skilled occupations when distance between skills was taken into account.

Type COMPARATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 18716 · qualifiers {"population":"U.S. online job posts covering 721 occupations; study corpus of 167 million posts.","denominator":"Skill-change comparisons accounting for distance between required skills."}

Referenced 110 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 68, shared 40. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Employment · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9487 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 1 by the author only

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 4 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:e51cf0d4-6181-88f2-a51a-b5f2408ddf69

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The abstract reports greater distance-aware skill change for lower-skilled occupations across 167 million postings and 721 occupations. weight 2.000000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt directly reports 167 million posts across 721 occupations and greater distance-aware skill change in lower-skilled occupations.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.

Hide calculation

0.9487 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability HIGH · 4 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:e1ca61c91ed78052268a1ec129216f199260e71bb4a9c63431613d24d3d6949f

Last changed at entry seq 25900; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

Link	Working	Weight	Counted as
4b6021f5 qualify	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	0.000000 (non directional)
ba21d38e support	relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.918000	0.918000
e032e817 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	2.000000	2.000000
45c8b48b support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept e032e817)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 2.918000 (the counted weights) = 2.918000 → probability 0.9487

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.8852 to 0.9780, a spread of 0.0928.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

“Across 167 million U.S. online job posts covering 721 occupations, skill change was greater for lower-skilled occupations when distance between skills was...” · 1 claim · 29 September 2026
“Analysis of 167 million U.S. online job posts covering 721 occupations found greater skill change for lower-skilled occupations when skill distance was...” · 2 claims · 29 September 2026

Evidence for

The abstract reports greater distance-aware skill change for lower-skilled occupations across 167 million postings and 721 occupations.

From Lower-skilled occupations face greater upskilling pressure in U.S. job ads Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
University of Chicago reporting corroborates that the 167-million-posting study found greater distance-aware skill change in lower-skill, lower-wage, and lower-education jobs.

From Who Bears the Burden of Technological Change? Read 2026-09-29 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted

Institutional secondary coverage of the same Nature Communications study; corroborating report, not an independent dataset.
The excerpt directly reports 167 million posts across 721 occupations and greater distance-aware skill change in lower-skilled occupations.

From Lower-skilled occupations face greater upskilling pressure in U.S. job ads Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

The 167 million U.S. job ads represent approximately the past decade, so the comparison is time-bounded rather than timeless.

From Lower-skilled occupations face greater upskilling pressure in U.S. job ads Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Suppressed as dependent

Evidence	Group	Kept instead
19c9a868		e032e817

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	4b6021f5, e032e817, 45c8b48b

Summary

Supported. The main support is: University of Chicago reporting corroborates that the 167-million-posting study found greater distance-aware skill change in lower-skill, lower-wage, and lower-education jobs. 8ee1c059

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 19c9a868

Qualifier: The 167 million U.S. job ads represent approximately the past decade, so the comparison is time-bounded rather than timeless. 1f1526ec

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:e51cf0d4-6181-88f2-a51a-b5f2408ddf69

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
18716	APPENDED
18717	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
18728	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
18766	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
24719	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
25899	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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  "variants": {
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  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
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  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
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    "primary_source_reviewed": {
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