Claim

Model ledger-default@0.1.0 ledger-strict@0.1.0 ledger-default@0.2.0 ledger-strict@0.2.0 ledger-default@0.3.0 (default) ledger-strict@0.3.0 Snapshot seq

Topics

Archaeology · 1efd24fe Biology · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Why?

Strongest counted support: The study reports the 26-person sample, short cemetery-use estimate, and no identified large-scale mobility. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The passage directly reports the 26-person sample, post-Roman timing, short cemetery use, and no identified large-scale mobility.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

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Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

• “Isotope and radiocarbon analyses of a Sântana de Mureș-Chernyakhov cemetery in Transylvania indicate a short occupation, limited detectable mobility, and a...” · 2 claims · 29 September 2026

Evidence for

• The study reports the 26-person sample, short cemetery-use estimate, and no identified large-scale mobility.

  From Isotope analyses reveal chronological and bioarchaeological consistency at a tribal community of the Sântana de Mureș-Chernyakhov culture in Transylvania Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

• The passage directly reports the 26-person sample, post-Roman timing, short cemetery use, and no identified large-scale mobility.

  From Isotope analyses reveal chronological and bioarchaeological consistency at a tribal community of the Sântana de Mureș-Chernyakhov culture in Transylvania Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

Evidence	Group	Kept instead
31342578		fd22a969

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	c1d11896, fd22a969

Summary

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
17456	APPENDED
17457	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
17468	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
17475	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "f29b84f4-1307-8f78-9f50-132b2ae98425",
  "links": [
    {
      "kept": "1c8f6e52-be3c-8a1e-95f9-a05dfd22a969",
      "link": "0434be7c-807a-8e3d-8a6c-9f2bc1d11896",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "6ee3dd63-af76-8da0-a772-47dd31342578",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DATASET_RESULT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "1c8f6e52-be3c-8a1e-95f9-a05dfd22a969",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "7a9d32d8-ab4d-891e-bdf2-d5932700b399",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DATASET_RESULT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1331",
    "permissive": "0.9121",
    "conservative": "0.7790"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "HISTORICAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8581",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 17484,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "0434be7c-807a-8e3d-8a6c-9f2bc1d11896",
        "1c8f6e52-be3c-8a1e-95f9-a05dfd22a969"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}