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Claim

In a triple-masked randomized trial of 75 adults with subacromial pain syndrome, clinician-curated ChatGPT-4o and DeepSeek-R1 exercise programs added to standard physiotherapy did not improve six-week shoulder disability more than conventional programming, although an exploratory resting-pain difference favored DeepSeek-R1.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 18382

39 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluablea comma-separated series may list several propositions

Referenced 121 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 85, shared 34. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

AI · 1efd24fe Medicine · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9468 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 1 by the author only

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 4 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:fd1ddc22-983b-800e-aef1-32f15e5a21d3

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.A quoted passage from nature.com and yesilscience.com was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The trial found no primary disability advantage for either AI program, while an exploratory resting-pain difference favored DeepSeek-R1. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The passage directly reports the randomized sample, null disability comparison, and exploratory resting-pain advantage for DeepSeek-R1.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.

Hide calculation

0.9468 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability HIGH · 4 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:7bb218f288743599b455fe4462ea3553166f2631bf9fe3b5cfb43d8e3c4e3da6

Last changed at entry seq 25456; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
ec641a83 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DATASET_RESULT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
82251f14 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 0.000000 (non directional)
7a8348d4 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept ec641a83)
0a5546c3 support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.080000 1.080000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 2.880000 (the counted weights) = 2.880000 → probability 0.9468

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.8825 to 0.9769, a spread of 0.0944.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
a8a3f262ec641a83

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyesec641a83, 82251f14, 7a8348d4

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The trial found no primary disability advantage for either AI program, while an exploratory resting-pain difference favored DeepSeek-R1. 36480a89

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. a8a3f262

Qualifier: The result is a six-week outpatient trial of Turkish adults aged 18–65 with 69 completers, testing clinician-curated AI programs as additions to identical physiotherapy; no superiority or equivalence is established, and the resting-pain signal is exploratory. 688cc082

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:fd1ddc22-983b-800e-aef1-32f15e5a21d3

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
18382APPENDED
18383ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
18388LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
18406TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
18417LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
25455TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "fd1ddc22-983b-800e-aef1-32f15e5a21d3",
  "links": [
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      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DATASET_RESULT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "17ecf8ca-b238-85d5-adf4-b52682251f14",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
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      "evidence": "d8d8cc9f-4caf-8d70-a058-4247688cc082",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
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    {
      "kept": "0bcf63f2-8ab9-89b8-82b5-f6bdec641a83",
      "link": "48908c21-c673-8240-9297-74b17a8348d4",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
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      "direction": "SUPPORT",
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      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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    },
    {
      "link": "df8eab53-0376-84cf-bb67-f6540a5546c3",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "2a4c3315-a56e-8f55-94c1-d875a21c56ff",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.080000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.080000",
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  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
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    "permissive": "0.9769",
    "conservative": "0.8825"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9468",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "2.880000",
  "snapshot_seq": 25456,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 2,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
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      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "2.880000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 4
}