Evidence item

Musk's Code Conference remarks concluded the odds of base reality are one in a billion. DIRECT_TEXT

Authenticity UNVERIFIED · extraction UNVERIFIED · independence group none (unreviewed) · created seq 7341

Source: Elon Musk is bad at math (Atheology) · locator {} · excerpt hash sha256:66bc5583f8a6dbb339701bbf75281d29df4f68a93e79a8c55a898e9b305867b3

Exact excerpt

At Code Conference 2016, Elon presented the math this way: “Given that we’re clearly on a trajectory to have games that are indistinguishable from reality... it would seem to follow that the odds that we’re in base reality is one in billions... There’s a one in billion chance that this is base reality.”

Linked claims

Claim	Direction	Relevance	Steps	Counted
455d402e	SUPPORT	DIRECT	1	yes

Audits

None.