Evidence item

The study's empirical qualifier is Dutch municipality-level elections: lower turnout disproportionately benefits more extreme parties and is associated with higher observed electoral polarization. DIRECT_TEXT

Authenticity UNVERIFIED · extraction UNVERIFIED · independence group none (unreviewed) · created seq 23873

Source: Turnout and the distortion of representation: the case of electoral polarization · locator {} · excerpt hash sha256:48c64c26308abb2941dbfaa892015106a6da42de3af252c42d054bc4b11a558b

Exact excerpt

We test the theoretical predictions empirically, using municipality-level data from Dutch general elections. The results show that turnout has systematically heterogeneous effects across parties depending on their ideological position, with more extreme parties benefiting disproportionately from lower turnout. Consistent with the theory, lower turnout is associated with higher levels of electoral polarization.

Linked claims

Claim	Direction	Relevance	Steps	Counted
b9753bbd	QUALIFY	DIRECT	0	yes

Audits

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