Investigations

“Mostaque said OpenAI had a different target before switching to what the excerpt renders as “Reman and Pals MP” and “Navia Stokes”; the mathematical names are transcription-uncertain.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.7146 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 50% · 0% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“There is no mechanism by which AI progress can be slowed down.”

The evidence goes against this. 1 of 1 checkable claim goes against the evidence.

Score: 0.0977 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“It may be easier to align AI systems than to align humans.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.9600 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“On September 19, 2026 reporters from CNN, MS NOW and Politico were denied access to White House grounds following Trump's announced ban.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.9830 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 50% · 50% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The counted speaker asserts that recursive self-improvement is here, but the excerpt does not identify which AI systems, define the threshold for arrival, or provide evidence beyond the speaker's assertion; the...”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.7146 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 25% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Blundin said Alex Karp went on a Palantir rampage saying companies should “get some cojones and become an AI company or die.””

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.6128 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 50% · 0% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The structure of rationality is the same for humans and AI systems, and human emotions are what differ.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.7985 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Mostaque argued that a model trained on 100,000 GPUs could not serve at the observed Astra speeds because the mathematics did not make sense, and said they knew a larger model was distilled into the served model.”

Not settled yet. 1 not yet settled.

Score: 0.5382 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 50% · 0% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Pachocki wrote the "alien mind" essay while already holding the internal model that went on to solve Navier-Stokes.”

The evidence goes against this. 1 of 1 checkable claim goes against the evidence.

Score: 0.3682 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“A separate solution to the Euler blowup problem, produced with physics-informed neural networks, has more practical application than the Navier-Stokes result.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.8688 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The predicted wave of white collar job disruption did not happen because the big AI labs actively chose against it under pressure from the White House.”

The evidence goes against this. 1 of 1 checkable claim goes against the evidence.

Score: 0.0183 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“A frontier AI lab is already running its own market-beating hedge fund strategy on an internal model.”

The evidence goes against this. 1 of 1 checkable claim goes against the evidence.

Score: 0.0739 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Independent reporting describes more than 17,000 recorded events across many short-lived sandboxes; it does not independently establish that around 130 AI agent instances were all wiped out at one time.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.9734 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 50% · 0% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The modern use of GPUs in AI began with ImageNet and the ILSVRC computer vision competition, and reinforcement learning as a field began with DeepMind's deep reinforcement learning for winning games.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.9996 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The predicted wave of white collar job disruption did not happen because the big AI labs actively chose against it under pressure from the White House.”

The evidence goes against this. 1 of 1 checkable claim goes against the evidence.

Score: 0.0183 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“China is moving to robots out of necessity because of the demographic consequences of its one child policy, with Japan as the earlier preview.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.9926 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 50% · 50% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Ismail said that for 500 years science scaled with the number of brilliant scientists that could be trained, and claimed that it had now been demonstrated that 10,000 researchers could be spun up on a Tuesday afternoon.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.6128 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 50% · 0% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“A separate solution to the Euler blowup problem, produced with physics-informed neural networks, has more practical application than the Navier-Stokes result.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.8688 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Building a realistic city in the Unreal Engine normally takes a studio hundreds of artists and months or years of work.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.8112 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“On September 19, 2026 journalists from CNN, MS NOW and Politico were kept off White House grounds, and the outlets then sued on First Amendment grounds.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.9381 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 for all claims together

Review 50% · 50% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited