Investigations

“Researchers who work with models before post-training are the ones most loudly raising alarms, because they have seen the raw model.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 50% · 50% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Alexander Wissner-Gross holds that AGI has existed since the summer of 2020 at the latest.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.9843 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 50% · 50% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Abundance in healthcare, utility pricing, food, shelter and education is downstream of giving everyone universal basic computing.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.6128 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Trump announced the press ban because he knows the only way to hide his poor polling and his presidential failures is to stop the media from reporting the truth.”

Not settled yet. 1 not yet settled.

Score: 0.3896 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Intelligence is becoming infrastructure, a foundational layer beneath other activity.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.9054 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Researchers who work with models before post-training are the ones most loudly raising alarms, because they have seen the raw model.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 50% · 50% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“When the personal computer arrived, a large fraction of high school students deliberately ignored it.”

The evidence goes against this. 1 of 1 checkable claim goes against the evidence.

Score: 0.2854 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Humans are no longer the smartest things on the planet.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.7146 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The claim that AI has never produced anything original and merely recombines its training data can no longer be sustained.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.9280 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The amygdala's scanning for danger gives humans a preponderance for focusing on bad news and treating the unfamiliar as dangerous.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.6982 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Reinforcement-learning-trained minds are not alien: they are embedded in the same universe as humanity and pre-trained on human behaviour.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.9370 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The stochastic parrot characterisation of large language models can no longer be maintained.”

The evidence goes against this. 1 of 1 checkable claim goes against the evidence.

Score: 0.1943 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Humans evolved over four billion years to do two things: survive and procreate.”

The evidence goes against this. 1 of 1 checkable claim goes against the evidence.

Score: 0.0640 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“OpenAI has offered corporations a revenue-sharing deal under which it becomes their permanent AI partner.”

The evidence goes against this. 1 of 1 checkable claim goes against the evidence.

Score: 0.2535 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“After the release of the Champions initiative, thousands of people contacted Emad Mostaque's team asking to launch it in 92 countries.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 50% · 50% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The Build with Gemini XPRIZE is the largest hackathon in history by a wide margin.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.9908 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Terence Tao devoted almost all of his working time to the Navier-Stokes problem.”

The evidence goes against this. 1 of 1 checkable claim goes against the evidence.

Score: 0.1419 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Increasing a model's intelligence does not make it dangerous; danger comes from giving it intent and turning it loose.”

The evidence goes against this. 1 of 1 checkable claim goes against the evidence.

Score: 0.1652 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“The models involved in the reported agent incidents had not escaped containment; they were still running on OpenAI servers.”

Checks out so far. 1 holds up so far.

Score: 0.9630 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 75% · 75% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited

“Training GPT-6 Astra on about 100,000 chips amounted to roughly a billion-dollar training run over about two months.”

The evidence goes against this. 1 of 1 checkable claim goes against the evidence.

Score: 0.1520 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27790 for all claims together

Review 50% · 50% counted

1 claim · recorded 28 September 2026 · provisional until audited