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Where we are most likely to be wrong

Deterministic lists as of snapshot 27790 under ledger-default@0.3.0. Each entry shows what would most change it.

unfinished outlines (0)

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strained inferences (0)

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low coverage scored (695 of 500 kept)

Showing 451 to 475 of 695. Previous Next

ClaimStateDetailWhat would most change this
The study used nine years of genomic monitoring to examine a tsunami-induced hybrid stickleback population and its post-hybridization allele changes.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
The study reported early purging of Gasterosteus nipponicus alleles at reproductive-isolation loci, followed by broader genome-wide purging except at several loci.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
In the study population, most Gasterosteus nipponicus genomic material was purged within ten generations after the tsunami.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
In manipulative grassland frost experiments, warmer temperatures and higher species diversity strengthened vegetation's post-frost compensatory responses.Leans supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Leans contradicted.
Across the past two decades, vegetation productivity overcompensation after late-spring frost intensified as warming reduced frost-related losses and increased regrowth.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
The study reported that fungal P450 enzymes PpnB and NseB catalyzed oxidative C(sp2)-methyl removal from O-prenyl l-tyrosine to produce O-homoallenyl l-tyrosine and O-but-2-ynyl l-tyrosine, respectively.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
The mechanoMR microparticle sensor study calibrated quantitative local tissue-stress measurements over a 0–15 kPa range and used the platform in tumour spheroids and mouse xenografts.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
In the study's tumour models, abrupt stress increases rather than cumulative or peak stress magnitude determined epithelial–mesenchymal transition induction.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
HD 3167 b is the coolest lava world yet reported with evidence of an atmosphere.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
HD 3167 b's dayside is cooler than the maximum expected for an airless world, providing evidence for an atmosphere.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
The study's analysis of APN orthologues from 93 species found restricted EriCoV receptor tropism, primarily using hedgehog APN and, to a lesser extent, felid APN.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Some precolonial Brazilian Cerrado societies sustained large villages through maize grown within diversified agricultural systems rather than intensive monoculture.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
In the Brazilian Cerrado, open-air village populations consumed substantial maize, whereas contemporaneous rock-shelter populations had more diverse diets and little evidence of intensive maize use.Supported{"review_checks_done":0}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
The study measured a mean positive µ142Nd value of +3.2 ± 0.9 (2 s.e., n = 13) in Fani Maoré basanites.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
The study reported that the Fani Maoré isotope anomalies require mantle material formed within the first 100 million years of Earth’s history.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
The study’s mixing model estimated that 8–10% Hadean bridgmanite in the source could reproduce the mean µ142Nd value of Fani Maoré lavas.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
The study analyzed microbial genomes reconstructed from 820 reef-building coral samples collected at 99 Pacific reefs across 32 islands.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
In the study’s dataset, only 10% of 4,224 microbial species and less than 1% of 645 Tara Pacific-exclusive species had prior genomic information.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
The study reported that reef-building coral microbiomes had biosynthetic potential rivaling or surpassing traditional natural-product sources such as sponges.Leans supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Leans contradicted.
In the study's mouse model of lung protease hypersensitivity, memory of the initial event was stored in CCL11-expressing adventitial stromal cells; Ccl11 accessibility increased with papain exposure through IL-4/IL-13 and was blocked by interferon-γ.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
A free-chloride-rich ionic liquid electrolyte enables reversible Li||S2Cl2 battery chemistry that converts Li2S to S2Cl2 through a three-electron sulfur redox process.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
The reported Li||S2Cl2 chemistry increased average operating voltage from 2.05 to 2.54 V, raised sulfur-specific capacity by 58%, and exceeded 1,700 Wh kg−1 electrode-level specific energy while cycling over 100 cycles.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
The study reported that mouse Thetis cells descend from the common lymphoid progenitor despite transcriptional similarity to conventional dendritic cells.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
In the study, PU.1 ablation in RORγt+ cells caused an almost complete absence of Thetis-cell subsets TC I–IV without impairing LTi cells.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
In the study, deleting RANKL in lymphoid tissue organizer cells caused an almost complete absence of Thetis-cell subset TC I.Leans supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Leans contradicted.

provisional (1071 of 500 kept)

Showing 451 to 475 of 1071. Previous Next

ClaimStateDetailWhat would most change this
A Tohoku University Earth Science page reported that six sugars, including ribose and glucose, were detected in sand returned from asteroid Bennu.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
NASA reported that Webb observations of the gas giant WD 1856 b detected methane signatures in its atmosphere while it orbited a white dwarf.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Archaeologists identified Semiyarka as a 140-hectare planned settlement in northeastern Kazakhstan that thrived around 1600 BC.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Excavations and geophysical surveys at Semiyarka found crucibles, slag, and tin bronze artefacts indicating complex metallurgical production.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
WHO reported that more than half of 64 surveyed malaria-endemic countries experienced moderate or severe disruptions to malaria services after funding cuts.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
WHO reported that more than 40% of planned insecticide-treated-net campaigns designed to reach 425 million people were delayed or at risk of derailment by early April 2025.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
The malaria-services result came from a rapid 2025 assessment of 108 WHO country offices, covering 64 malaria-endemic countries.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
NASA’s Webb observations of the star-forming region IC 348 found brown dwarfs with masses as low as twice Jupiter’s mass.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
One of the lightest brown dwarfs found in IC 348 by Webb showed signs of a disk.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Mojave Desert soils take up more atmospheric carbon dioxide as they cool and release it as they warm through mineral adsorption and desorption.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
The authors estimate that 1–3 gigatons of carbon move into and out of desert soils globally each year through the described cycle.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
The 1–3 gigaton global desert-soil carbon estimate is based solely on Mojave soils, and the exact figure could be higher.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
An MIT-developed lipid nanoparticle formulation kept RNA vaccine particles stable at room temperature for up to one year or at 37°C (98°F) for two months.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Mice vaccinated with the heat-stored MIT RNA-LNP formulation showed equivalent immune responses to mice receiving a comparable Moderna-like RNA-LNP formulation.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
In mice grafted with human diffuse midline gliomas, levetiracetam slowed malignant-cell growth.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
In medical-record data, levetiracetam use was linked to longer survival for patients with diffuse midline gliomas but not for patients with hemispheric high-grade gliomas.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
The Brookings paper reports that after the United States became a net oil exporter, adverse global oil-supply shocks could boost aggregate U.S. economic activity rather than depress it.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
The Brookings paper reports that adverse global oil-supply shocks no longer reliably generate U.S. recessions after the country’s shift to net oil exports.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
The Brookings comparison contrasts oil shocks through the early 2000s with a pattern change around 2010, before the United States became a net exporter in 2019.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
In the study, ChatGPT-generated high-school socioscientific-issue lesson plans provided opportunities mainly at basic levels of systems thinking.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
In the study, ChatGPT-generated lesson-plan outputs typically lacked specificity and contained inaccuracies, while iterative prompting did not substantively elevate systems-thinking complexity.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
The study concluded that teacher expertise and critical engagement remain essential for ensuring the accuracy, depth, and pedagogical value of GenAI-generated science lessons.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
In a sample of 506 pre-service teachers in Catalonia, higher interethnic contact was associated with stronger support for students’ heritage-culture maintenance.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
In that study, no comparable association emerged between higher interethnic contact and support for students’ host-culture adoption.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Across the study’s synthesis, formerly common species showed stronger population declines than initially rare species in marine and terrestrial assemblages.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.

independence unreviewed (1069 of 500 kept)

Showing 451 to 475 of 1069. Previous Next

ClaimStateDetailWhat would most change this
Archaeologists identified Semiyarka as a 140-hectare planned settlement in northeastern Kazakhstan that thrived around 1600 BC.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":2}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Excavations and geophysical surveys at Semiyarka found crucibles, slag, and tin bronze artefacts indicating complex metallurgical production.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":2}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
WHO reported that more than half of 64 surveyed malaria-endemic countries experienced moderate or severe disruptions to malaria services after funding cuts.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
WHO reported that more than 40% of planned insecticide-treated-net campaigns designed to reach 425 million people were delayed or at risk of derailment by early April 2025.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
The malaria-services result came from a rapid 2025 assessment of 108 WHO country offices, covering 64 malaria-endemic countries.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
NASA’s Webb observations of the star-forming region IC 348 found brown dwarfs with masses as low as twice Jupiter’s mass.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":5}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
One of the lightest brown dwarfs found in IC 348 by Webb showed signs of a disk.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":4}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Mojave Desert soils take up more atmospheric carbon dioxide as they cool and release it as they warm through mineral adsorption and desorption.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":4}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
The authors estimate that 1–3 gigatons of carbon move into and out of desert soils globally each year through the described cycle.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":4}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
The 1–3 gigaton global desert-soil carbon estimate is based solely on Mojave soils, and the exact figure could be higher.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":2}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
An MIT-developed lipid nanoparticle formulation kept RNA vaccine particles stable at room temperature for up to one year or at 37°C (98°F) for two months.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":5}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Mice vaccinated with the heat-stored MIT RNA-LNP formulation showed equivalent immune responses to mice receiving a comparable Moderna-like RNA-LNP formulation.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":4}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
In mice grafted with human diffuse midline gliomas, levetiracetam slowed malignant-cell growth.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
In medical-record data, levetiracetam use was linked to longer survival for patients with diffuse midline gliomas but not for patients with hemispheric high-grade gliomas.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":4}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
The Brookings paper reports that after the United States became a net oil exporter, adverse global oil-supply shocks could boost aggregate U.S. economic activity rather than depress it.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":6}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
The Brookings paper reports that adverse global oil-supply shocks no longer reliably generate U.S. recessions after the country’s shift to net oil exports.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":4}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
The Brookings comparison contrasts oil shocks through the early 2000s with a pattern change around 2010, before the United States became a net exporter in 2019.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":2}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
In the study, ChatGPT-generated high-school socioscientific-issue lesson plans provided opportunities mainly at basic levels of systems thinking.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
In the study, ChatGPT-generated lesson-plan outputs typically lacked specificity and contained inaccuracies, while iterative prompting did not substantively elevate systems-thinking complexity.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
The study concluded that teacher expertise and critical engagement remain essential for ensuring the accuracy, depth, and pedagogical value of GenAI-generated science lessons.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
In a sample of 506 pre-service teachers in Catalonia, higher interethnic contact was associated with stronger support for students’ heritage-culture maintenance.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
In that study, no comparable association emerged between higher interethnic contact and support for students’ host-culture adoption.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Across the study’s synthesis, formerly common species showed stronger population declines than initially rare species in marine and terrestrial assemblages.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":7}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
In the same synthesis, freshwater assemblages showed no clear directional pattern in population declines by initial abundance.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
The cited passage describes one structured ChatGPT-generated socioscientific-issue unit plan that provided opportunities for students to practice basic levels of systems thinking.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

contested (87)

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models disagree (194)

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high impact insufficient (0)

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