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Claim

In a 38-person online pilot randomized trial, adding an Emphasis Change attention-priority strategy to the Breakfast Game improved near-transfer multitasking and executive-control outcomes versus active control, but not distant-transfer mood or everyday cognitive-activity measures.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 18796

34 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluablea comma-separated series may list several propositions

Referenced 77 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 76, shared 0. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Neuroscience · 1efd24fe Psychology · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Leans supported

Score: 0.7465 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 2 by the author only

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 4 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:16293e01-8178-8d63-95ac-1c96622603ac

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage from nature.com and researchtoday.co.za was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: Independent coverage emphasizes the small proof-of-concept design and the near-transfer gains without broader everyday-function evidence. weight 1.080000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The passage directly reports the 38-person pilot, greater Emphasis Change gains and near transfer, and absent distant-transfer effects.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Leans contradicted.

Hide calculation

0.7465 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Leans supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 4 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:2451599571138cd2c32ba4ae5891056dac7cba27660b3b57ba2519fb6bc02655

Last changed at entry seq 25007; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
3a1396d0 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept cfd4329d)
daa738c0 support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.080000 1.080000
60036a49 qualify relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (non directional)
cfd4329d support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DATASET_RESULT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.080000 (the counted weights) = 1.080000 → probability 0.7465

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.6805 to 0.8028, a spread of 0.1223.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
a84a1531cfd4329d

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes3a1396d0, 60036a49, cfd4329d

Summary

Leans supported. The main support is: Independent coverage emphasizes the small proof-of-concept design and the near-transfer gains without broader everyday-function evidence. 9211b726

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. a84a1531

Qualifier: The counted primary passage specifies 38 cognitively unimpaired older adults and reports both groups improved game performance while Emphasis Change improved more. 63161d03

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. b3cc3d24

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:16293e01-8178-8d63-95ac-1c96622603ac

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
18796APPENDED
18797ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
18804LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
18806LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
18858TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
24674TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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  "links": [
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      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
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      "link": "590bf93b-520a-859d-93ad-5caf60036a49",
      "group": null,
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  "prior": "0.50",
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    "permissive": "0.8028",
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  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
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  "evidence_sum": "1.080000",
  "snapshot_seq": 25007,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "LEANS_SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
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      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
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    "independence_reviewed": {
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      ],
      "ok": true
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  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.080000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 4
}