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Claim

The study reported that reef-building coral microbiomes had biosynthetic potential rivaling or surpassing traditional natural-product sources such as sponges.

Type COMPARATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 21388

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 126 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 78, shared 46. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Biology · 1efd24fe Chemistry · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Leans supported

Score: 0.7790 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 2 by the author only

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 4 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:21616710-2f15-8bd3-8b99-89947ad6ef87

Not yet independently audited.Evidence points both ways.Every quoted passage was confirmed on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The primary study compares coral microbiome biosynthetic potential favorably with sponge natural-product sources. weight 1.800000 evidence

Strongest counted contradiction: Raw recovery yielded fewer biosynthetic gene-cluster families from corals than sponges, though normalization reversed the comparison. weight 0.540000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The quoted passage directly says reef-building coral microbiomes rivalled or surpassed traditional natural-product sources such as sponges.; The primary study compares coral microbiome biosynthetic potential with established natural-product sources.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Leans contradicted.

Hide calculation

0.7790 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Leans supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 4 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:7eb5625cd056a8129da78eca2e93a84a18f71236d18f89615391cabc5d7c0b96

Last changed at entry seq 24961; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
8548d723 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 329b6bbe)
a439a1fc support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation EXPERT_ANALYSIS 0.3 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.600000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 329b6bbe)
329b6bbe support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
82ed8037 contradict relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.540000 0.540000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.260000 (the counted weights) = 1.260000 → probability 0.7790

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7072 to 0.8373, a spread of 0.1301.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
af93c9c8329b6bbe
c88f2df3329b6bbe

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes8548d723, a439a1fc, 329b6bbe, 82ed8037

Summary

Leans supported. The main support is: The primary study compares coral microbiome biosynthetic potential favorably with sponge natural-product sources. fd1b9677

Against that, contradiction: Raw recovery yielded fewer biosynthetic gene-cluster families from corals than sponges, though normalization reversed the comparison. 49bae959

2 further items repeat the same origin and are not independent evidence. af93c9c8c88f2df3

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. fa3d6b77

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:21616710-2f15-8bd3-8b99-89947ad6ef87

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
21388APPENDED
21389ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
21402LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
21436LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
22317TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
24960TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "21616710-2f15-8bd3-8b99-89947ad6ef87",
  "links": [
    {
      "kept": "aad9a155-a5e3-88e5-8b71-d923329b6bbe",
      "link": "0acd2257-e69c-8853-a6c0-50888548d723",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "2b013f34-ba36-8a7c-9c00-b96aaf93c9c8",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "aad9a155-a5e3-88e5-8b71-d923329b6bbe",
      "link": "47047b00-3922-8b31-8613-57a4a439a1fc",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "68157fe0-35f7-8154-be81-7700c88f2df3",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.600000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "EXPERT_ANALYSIS",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "aad9a155-a5e3-88e5-8b71-d923329b6bbe",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "cab154b9-5dae-8f44-84e8-f982fd1b9677",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "e621527b-9efa-8253-a6e5-befa82ed8037",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "a7feae19-8808-8937-a18f-593f49bae959",
      "direction": "CONTRADICT",
      "magnitude": "0.540000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.540000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1301",
    "permissive": "0.8373",
    "conservative": "0.7072"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": true,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "COMPARATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.7790",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.260000",
  "snapshot_seq": 24961,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "LEANS_SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "0acd2257-e69c-8853-a6c0-50888548d723",
        "47047b00-3922-8b31-8613-57a4a439a1fc",
        "aad9a155-a5e3-88e5-8b71-d923329b6bbe",
        "e621527b-9efa-8253-a6e5-befa82ed8037"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 1,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.260000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 4
}