Galedra
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Claim

Remote work causes higher productivity.

Type CAUSAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 15

Referenced 120 times: checked 0, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 118, shared 2. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Employment · d6193340

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8540 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

3 independent evidence lineages · review checks 3 of 4 · stability LOW

Main unresolved issue: 2 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:22ec82c8-ed44-86e6-b269-1bb3d477d9a2

Not yet independently audited.This assessment depends heavily on modeling choices.

Why?

Strongest counted support: A King's College London study found productivity rose 10.5 per cent after Tempo BPO moved to fully remote work. weight 1.800000 evidence

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8540 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability LOW · 3 sources, 3 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:72769277ed0fba533d49db657ff7089ec4b9916347dd21b733e218951fe5c946

Last changed at entry seq 10803; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
6a1c7f3f support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
3427308b support relevance WEAK 0.2 × observation DATASET_RESULT 0.9 × interpretation 2 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 2 0.700000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.126000 0.126000
ad4fcc50 support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DATASET_RESULT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.459000 0.459000

prior 0.35 → log-odds -0.619039 + 2.385000 (the counted weights) = 1.765961 → probability 0.8540

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7409 to 0.9228, a spread of 0.1819.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes14d5a76a, 14d5a76a
opposing search doneyes836839d4, 836839d4
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes3427308b, ad4fcc50

Summary

Supported. The main support is: A King's College London study found productivity rose 10.5 per cent after Tempo BPO moved to fully remote work. ddc42af7

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 836839d4

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 836839d4

Review checks: 3 of 4. coverage:22ec82c8-ed44-86e6-b269-1bb3d477d9a2

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
15APPENDED
16ACCEPT
87AUDITCONFIRMED
83LINK_EVIDENCEby ed4ff57f (accepted)
7118TASK_RESULTby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
8940TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "22ec82c8-ed44-86e6-b269-1bb3d477d9a2",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "12c3e688-a1be-8be3-b00f-a0406a1c7f3f",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "11511941-3e9d-87a7-9d8c-333bddc42af7",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "3c162e46-95df-83c7-aa4c-ed003427308b",
      "group": "bb9bb008-71c6-8ccc-9bf9-268e1b5ff9db",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "a791c84d-ab89-8439-bdb8-51d872ea8117",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.126000",
      "relevance": "WEAK",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DATASET_RESULT",
      "source_type": "DATASET",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": true,
      "effective_weight": "0.126000",
      "interpretive_steps": 2
    },
    {
      "link": "f563dd22-e1b7-8a3e-8ead-08e7ad4fcc50",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "806d7436-62ca-8c28-83c3-2b1dc91fb4e5",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.459000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DATASET_RESULT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.459000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.35",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1819",
    "permissive": "0.9228",
    "conservative": "0.7409"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "LOW",
  "claim_type": "CAUSAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8540",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "2.385000",
  "snapshot_seq": 10803,
  "prior_log_odds": "-0.619039",
  "support_groups": 3,
  "model_dependent": true,
  "review_coverage": "0.75",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0bf29-4404-77bd-b6fb-a25614d5a76a",
        "01a0bf29-4404-77bd-b6fb-a25614d5a76a"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0bf29-43fd-7e86-8ec1-75a4836839d4",
        "01a0bf29-43fd-7e86-8ec1-75a4836839d4"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "3c162e46-95df-83c7-aa4c-ed003427308b",
        "f563dd22-e1b7-8a3e-8ead-08e7ad4fcc50"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.765961",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}