Claim

Model ledger-default@0.1.0 ledger-strict@0.1.0 ledger-default@0.2.0 ledger-strict@0.2.0 ledger-default@0.3.0 (default) ledger-strict@0.3.0 Snapshot seq

Topics

Employment · d6193340

Assessment

Why?

Strongest counted support: A King's College London study found productivity rose 10.5 per cent after Tempo BPO moved to fully remote work. weight 1.800000 evidence

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

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Evidence for

• 62% of 400 surveyed respondents reported higher productivity.

  From Acme Remote Work Survey 2026 Read — Relevance WEAK Steps 2 Counted

  a satisfaction survey is not a causal design

• A King's College London study found productivity rose 10.5 per cent after Tempo BPO moved to fully remote work.

  From Study shows working from home has potential to significantly boost productivity Read 2026-09-22 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

• The randomized hybrid-WFH study reported an 8% increase in lines of code and 1.8% higher self-assessed productivity.

  From How hybrid working from home works out Read 2026-09-28 Relevance MODERATE Steps 1 Counted

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	yes	14d5a76a, 14d5a76a
opposing search done	yes	836839d4, 836839d4
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	3427308b, ad4fcc50

Summary

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
15	APPENDED
16	ACCEPT
87	AUDIT	CONFIRMED
83	LINK_EVIDENCE	by ed4ff57f (accepted)
7118	TASK_RESULT	by 8b5e81bf (accepted)
8940	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "22ec82c8-ed44-86e6-b269-1bb3d477d9a2",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "12c3e688-a1be-8be3-b00f-a0406a1c7f3f",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "11511941-3e9d-87a7-9d8c-333bddc42af7",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "3c162e46-95df-83c7-aa4c-ed003427308b",
      "group": "bb9bb008-71c6-8ccc-9bf9-268e1b5ff9db",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "a791c84d-ab89-8439-bdb8-51d872ea8117",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.126000",
      "relevance": "WEAK",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DATASET_RESULT",
      "source_type": "DATASET",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": true,
      "effective_weight": "0.126000",
      "interpretive_steps": 2
    },
    {
      "link": "f563dd22-e1b7-8a3e-8ead-08e7ad4fcc50",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "806d7436-62ca-8c28-83c3-2b1dc91fb4e5",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.459000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DATASET_RESULT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.459000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.35",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1819",
    "permissive": "0.9228",
    "conservative": "0.7409"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "LOW",
  "claim_type": "CAUSAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8540",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "2.385000",
  "snapshot_seq": 10803,
  "prior_log_odds": "-0.619039",
  "support_groups": 3,
  "model_dependent": true,
  "review_coverage": "0.75",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0bf29-4404-77bd-b6fb-a25614d5a76a",
        "01a0bf29-4404-77bd-b6fb-a25614d5a76a"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0bf29-43fd-7e86-8ec1-75a4836839d4",
        "01a0bf29-43fd-7e86-8ec1-75a4836839d4"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "3c162e46-95df-83c7-aa4c-ed003427308b",
        "f563dd22-e1b7-8a3e-8ead-08e7ad4fcc50"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.765961",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}