Claim
The same randomized trial found no evidence that the larger cash gift affected mothers’ measured epigenetic indices.
Topics
Economics · 1efd24fe Biology · 1efd24fe
Assessment
Supported
Main unresolved issue: 2 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:2464065a-9544-8903-88b8-4f8469ed1f18
Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.Every quoted passage was confirmed on the page when Galedra fetched it.
Why?
Strongest counted support: The abstract reports the randomized cash amounts, child DunedinPACE effect, and absence of maternal epigenetic effects. weight 2.000000 evidence
Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt directly states that the cash gift had no evidence of impact on mothers' measured epigenetic indices.
Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed
What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
0.8808 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 2 sources, 1 independent lineage
How the number was reached
| Link | Working | Weight | Counted as |
|---|---|---|---|
| 583e2c2e support | relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 1.800000 | 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept e2db7403) |
| e2db7403 support | relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 2.000000 | 2.000000 |
prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 2.000000 (the counted weights) = 2.000000 → probability 0.8808
Your view
Registered views
Nobody has registered a view yet.
Checked as part of
- “A randomized U.S. trial found that larger unconditional monthly cash gifts to low-income mothers produced a −0.17 standard-deviation difference in their...” · 2 claims · 28 September 2026
Evidence for
-
From Effects of a randomized controlled trial of unconditional cash transfers on epigenetic measures of ageing and cognition in children and mothers Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
The abstract directly states no evidence of maternal epigenetic impact.
-
From Effects of a randomized controlled trial of unconditional cash transfers on epigenetic measures of ageing and cognition in children and mothers Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
Evidence against
None.
Qualifications
None.
Suppressed as dependent
| Evidence | Group | Kept instead |
|---|---|---|
| 39cc4b68 | e2db7403 |
Inferences
Concluded from
None.
Used as a premise in
None.
Threads
None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.
Claim edges
None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.
Review checklist
Review checks: 1 of 4
| Check | Done | By |
|---|---|---|
| qualifiers reviewed | no | |
| opposing search done | no | |
| independence reviewed | no | |
| primary source reviewed | yes | 583e2c2e, e2db7403 |
Summary
Supported. The main support is: The abstract reports the randomized cash amounts, child DunedinPACE effect, and absence of maternal epigenetic effects. 6b43ec05
1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 39cc4b68
A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. 4e47d4f7
Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:2464065a-9544-8903-88b8-4f8469ed1f18
Contribution history
| seq | event | detail |
|---|---|---|
| 14657 | APPENDED | |
| 14658 | ACCEPT | AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION |
| 14669 | LINK_EVIDENCE | by 1efd24fe (accepted) |
| 14687 | TASK_RESULT | by 1efd24fe (accepted) |
Score trace
{
"claim": "2464065a-9544-8903-88b8-4f8469ed1f18",
"links": [
{
"kept": "b134e17a-e683-8d5e-895b-c98ae2db7403",
"link": "8a5103b1-a738-8761-8766-3965583e2c2e",
"group": null,
"reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
"edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
"evidence": "84aabb66-4b54-8327-a156-514339cc4b68",
"direction": "SUPPORT",
"magnitude": "1.800000",
"relevance": "DIRECT",
"extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
"provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
"observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
"source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
"authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
"audit_confirmed": false,
"effective_weight": "0.000000",
"interpretive_steps": 0
},
{
"link": "b134e17a-e683-8d5e-895b-c98ae2db7403",
"group": null,
"edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
"evidence": "c452c26d-1ab3-8fe0-83a3-bb156b43ec05",
"direction": "SUPPORT",
"magnitude": "2.000000",
"relevance": "DIRECT",
"extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
"provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
"observation": "MEASUREMENT",
"source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
"authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
"audit_confirmed": false,
"effective_weight": "2.000000",
"interpretive_steps": 0
}
],
"model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
"prior": "0.50",
"variants": {
"spread": "0.1287",
"permissive": "0.9309",
"conservative": "0.8022"
},
"code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
"contested": false,
"stability": "MEDIUM",
"claim_type": "OBSERVATIONAL",
"config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
"probability": "0.8808",
"provisional": true,
"evidence_sum": "2.000000",
"snapshot_seq": 15068,
"prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
"support_groups": 1,
"model_dependent": false,
"review_coverage": "0.25",
"truth_evaluable": true,
"assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
"review_checklist": {
"qualifiers_reviewed": {
"by": [],
"ok": false
},
"opposing_search_done": {
"by": [],
"ok": false
},
"independence_reviewed": {
"by": [],
"ok": false
},
"primary_source_reviewed": {
"by": [
"8a5103b1-a738-8761-8766-3965583e2c2e",
"b134e17a-e683-8d5e-895b-c98ae2db7403"
],
"ok": true
}
},
"contradict_groups": 0,
"rounding_boundary": false,
"posterior_log_odds": "2.000000",
"not_applicable_reason": null,
"independence_unreviewed": 2
}