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Claim

The reported seawater-hydrogen system operated stably for 100 days at 20 kW, producing 3.8 Nm³ h⁻¹ hydrogen and 1.2 kg h⁻¹ freshwater; at 250 kW it produced 48 Nm³ h⁻¹ hydrogen and 31.6 kg h⁻¹ freshwater, with 14.4% higher electrical efficiency than alkaline electrolysis using freshwater alone.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 16032 · qualifiers {"population":"20-kW industrial pilot and 250-kW scaled system","source_edition":"336602f6-d3d9-8177-8f73-a74c878d2962"}

47 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluablea comma-separated series may list several propositions

Referenced 100 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 61, shared 37. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Energy · 1efd24fe Technology · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9781 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 2 by the author only

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:29526bc5-3f22-89b3-ab1a-2ab1739dba48

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.A quoted passage from nature.com was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The study reports 100-day stable 20-kW operation and 250-kW scale-up with specified hydrogen, freshwater, and efficiency results. weight 2.000000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The passage directly reports 20-kW 100-day operation, 250-kW outputs, and the 14.4% efficiency comparison.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9781 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability HIGH · 3 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:d2f41fcbae57910e8290a90b213348ea29978cae11208d1458e53c360438361a

Last changed at entry seq 16632; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
d741d04b support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
76cb0675 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept f52288a2)
f52288a2 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 2.000000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 3.800000 (the counted weights) = 3.800000 → probability 0.9781

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9346 to 0.9929, a spread of 0.0583.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
3f9f51a6f52288a2

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyesd741d04b, 76cb0675, f52288a2

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The Nature Energy report directly documents the 20-kW pilot's 100-day operation and the 250-kW scale-up outputs and relative efficiency improvement described in the claim. 481722b8

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 3f9f51a6

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. e785bef2

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:29526bc5-3f22-89b3-ab1a-2ab1739dba48

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
16032APPENDED
16033ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
16044LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
16050TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
16631LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "29526bc5-3f22-89b3-ab1a-2ab1739dba48",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "08a75c51-856a-8219-a6d2-f409d741d04b",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "cbf14f95-5473-80ef-9a3c-74b1481722b8",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "a6a067e6-e2b2-82d7-87fe-0d3af52288a2",
      "link": "730513fe-1b94-8820-a6e5-f9ae76cb0675",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "d15ded3d-10a2-88ad-868c-54723f9f51a6",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "a6a067e6-e2b2-82d7-87fe-0d3af52288a2",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "2e65f0ba-7f35-8b24-969d-fedf6a36b543",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "2.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0583",
    "permissive": "0.9929",
    "conservative": "0.9346"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9781",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "3.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 16632,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 2,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "08a75c51-856a-8219-a6d2-f409d741d04b",
        "730513fe-1b94-8820-a6e5-f9ae76cb0675",
        "a6a067e6-e2b2-82d7-87fe-0d3af52288a2"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "3.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 3
}