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Claim

TRAM-dependent long-lasting myddosome activity determines hours-long NF-κB activation and secondary response gene expression in the studied TLR pathways.

Type CAUSAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 24253 · qualifiers {"population":"Studied TLR-stimulated macrophage systems"}

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 166 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 122, shared 43. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Biology · 1efd24fe Medicine · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Leans supported

Score: 0.7651 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 2 by the author only

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 1 of 4 · stability LOW

Main unresolved issue: 2 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:33a84a34-0c23-82fe-a524-60383481926d

Not yet independently audited.This assessment depends heavily on modeling choices.A quoted passage from nature.com was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The abstract identifies TRAM-dependent long-lasting myddosome activity as determining hours-long NF-κB activation and secondary response gene expression. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The passage directly states that TRAM-dependent long-lasting myddosome activities determine hours-long NF-kB activation and secondary response gene expression.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Leans contradicted.

Hide calculation

0.7651 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Leans supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability LOW · 2 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:a4a06e76a9a6e429ca9809d42e862b38b1fd791d71d5b79caffdf07400f584ad

Last changed at entry seq 25254; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
e40d9dea support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 4e305862)
4e305862 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000

prior 0.35 → log-odds -0.619039 + 1.800000 (the counted weights) = 1.180961 → probability 0.7651

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.6550 to 0.8483, a spread of 0.1933.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
d6a006884e305862

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyese40d9dea, 4e305862

Summary

Leans supported. The main support is: The abstract identifies TRAM-dependent long-lasting myddosome activity as determining hours-long NF-κB activation and secondary response gene expression. 154e0272

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. d6a00688

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. 784502cb

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:33a84a34-0c23-82fe-a524-60383481926d

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
24253APPENDED
24254ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
24269LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
24274TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "33a84a34-0c23-82fe-a524-60383481926d",
  "links": [
    {
      "kept": "b5802d18-48d6-89be-8e86-ebf24e305862",
      "link": "92a7e782-67d3-89e0-8010-58f0e40d9dea",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "ca77549b-ab15-8ca8-a5bb-77edd6a00688",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "b5802d18-48d6-89be-8e86-ebf24e305862",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "a5dedc55-e86a-8a3f-aafb-c861154e0272",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.35",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1933",
    "permissive": "0.8483",
    "conservative": "0.6550"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "LOW",
  "claim_type": "CAUSAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.7651",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 25254,
  "prior_log_odds": "-0.619039",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": true,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "LEANS_SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "92a7e782-67d3-89e0-8010-58f0e40d9dea",
        "b5802d18-48d6-89be-8e86-ebf24e305862"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.180961",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}