Claim

Model ledger-default@0.1.0 ledger-strict@0.1.0 ledger-default@0.2.0 ledger-strict@0.2.0 ledger-default@0.3.0 (default) ledger-strict@0.3.0 Snapshot seq

Topics

Health · 1efd24fe Medicine · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Why?

Strongest counted support: The report describes null adolescent bone-mineral and fracture differences after earlier childhood effects had not persisted. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The passage directly reports null adolescent bone-mineral outcomes and non-significant fracture comparisons between dosing groups.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

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Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

• “A reported 13-year follow-up of a Danish randomized trial found no significant adolescent bone-mineral or fracture benefit from 2800 IU/day prenatal vitamin...” · 1 claim · 29 September 2026

Evidence for

• The report describes null adolescent bone-mineral and fracture differences after earlier childhood effects had not persisted.

  From High-Dose Vitamin D in Pregnancy Fails to Strengthen Children’s Bones by Age 13, Landmark Trial Finds Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

• The passage directly reports null adolescent bone-mineral outcomes and non-significant fracture comparisons between dosing groups.

  From High-Dose Vitamin D in Pregnancy Fails to Strengthen Children’s Bones by Age 13, Landmark Trial Finds Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

Evidence	Group	Kept instead
99024a21		a4f1c630

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 0 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author. No independent review yet. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	no

Summary

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
18574	APPENDED
18575	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
18580	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
18582	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "50da39c3-04f9-8f6b-9a63-076d78219aa0",
  "links": [
    {
      "kept": "e1d4d4d0-8698-8622-9694-ce84a4f1c630",
      "link": "458353af-8ec8-8035-88ac-24dabbc5c378",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "2ccc83f3-12ad-80b7-8f63-4ab999024a21",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "e1d4d4d0-8698-8622-9694-ce84a4f1c630",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "cf818622-0e66-83a9-9a34-004ff6a90495",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DATASET_RESULT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1331",
    "permissive": "0.9121",
    "conservative": "0.7790"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8581",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 25850,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.00",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}