Claim

In a randomized trial of low-income U.S. mothers, high-cash gifts of US$333 per month versus US$20 per month caused a −0.17 standard-deviation difference in 4-year-old children’s DunedinPACE.

Type CAUSAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 14653 · qualifiers {"population":"Low-income U.S. mothers and their children in the Baby’s First Years randomized trial.","denominator":"Children with available age-4 epigenetic data; the reported abstract groups were 313 high-cash and 423 low-cash children."}

27 words; atomic claims are usually under 25

Referenced 89 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 67, shared 21. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Economics · 1efd24fe Biology · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9671 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

1 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability LOW

Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:732c0875-4ea1-8513-b155-7895662f6178

Not yet independently audited.This assessment depends heavily on modeling choices.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.Every quoted passage was confirmed on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The results passage directly reports the −0.17 standard-deviation DunedinPACE difference. weight 2.000000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The passage directly reports the randomized $333 versus $20 comparison and the −0.17 standard-deviation child DunedinPACE difference.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.

Hide calculation

0.9671 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability LOW · 3 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:8fb0d9285a989c4bda096409679278f85df09e32f39efcc1d0a738c8543c1785

Last changed at entry seq 15068; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

Link	Working	Weight	Counted as
f93c8e5b support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	2.000000	2.000000
27e0bde7 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 6447bcd3)
6447bcd3 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	2.000000	2.000000

prior 0.35 → log-odds -0.619039 + 4.000000 (the counted weights) = 3.380961 → probability 0.9671

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.8985 to 0.9899, a spread of 0.0914.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

“A randomized U.S. trial found that larger unconditional monthly cash gifts to low-income mothers produced a −0.17 standard-deviation difference in their...” · 2 claims · 28 September 2026

Evidence for

The abstract reports the randomized cash amounts, child DunedinPACE effect, and absence of maternal epigenetic effects.

From Effects of a randomized controlled trial of unconditional cash transfers on epigenetic measures of ageing and cognition in children and mothers Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

The abstract directly states the intervention contrast and child DunedinPACE effect.
The results passage directly reports the −0.17 standard-deviation DunedinPACE difference.

From Effects of a randomized controlled trial of unconditional cash transfers on epigenetic measures of ageing and cognition in children and mothers Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

The results passage directly reports the effect size and confidence interval.
The passage directly reports the randomized $333 versus $20 comparison and the −0.17 standard-deviation child DunedinPACE difference.

From Effects of a randomized controlled trial of unconditional cash transfers on epigenetic measures of ageing and cognition in children and mothers Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

The quoted passage directly bears on every quantitative element of the claim.

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

Evidence	Group	Kept instead
7646ae22		6447bcd3

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

1 check by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	f93c8e5b, 27e0bde7, 6447bcd3

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The results passage directly reports the −0.17 standard-deviation DunedinPACE difference. f231dbed

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 7646ae22

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:732c0875-4ea1-8513-b155-7895662f6178

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
14653	APPENDED
14654	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
14665	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
14667	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
15067	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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  "claim": "732c0875-4ea1-8513-b155-7895662f6178",
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    {
      "link": "e2bf2453-ee3b-8d4d-9210-1b226447bcd3",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "c452c26d-1ab3-8fe0-83a3-bb156b43ec05",
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  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.35",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0914",
    "permissive": "0.9899",
    "conservative": "0.8985"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "LOW",
  "claim_type": "CAUSAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9671",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "4.000000",
  "snapshot_seq": 15068,
  "prior_log_odds": "-0.619039",
  "support_groups": 2,
  "model_dependent": true,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
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    "independence_reviewed": {
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    "primary_source_reviewed": {
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      ],
      "ok": true
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  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "3.380961",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 3
}