Galedra
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Claim

The open-source GOLEM humanoid architecture demonstrated EV-battery fastener grasping on a real Hyundai Ioniq 5 pack, with success declining from 97% while tethered to 87% free-standing and 37% under navigation-induced pose variance.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 16907

32 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 94 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 58, shared 34. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Technology · 1efd24fe AI · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9561 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 1 by the author only

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:7cdd9c7e-ed17-8211-8a8c-ccfb97882b96

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.Every quoted passage was confirmed on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: GOLEM fastener-grasping success fell from 97% tethered to 37% under navigation-induced pose variance on a real battery pack. weight 2.000000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The quoted passage directly supports the real-pack benchmark and the 97%, 87%, and 37% success rates.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.

Hide calculation

0.9561 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability HIGH · 3 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:6e7e6ad08e10503dccf4acd5c07e5cff8b454de21729a04e71f8f1acd7a3fe97

Last changed at entry seq 25794; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
1c8e23c8 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 2.000000
ea51932d support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 1c8e23c8)
e0926836 support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.080000 1.080000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 3.080000 (the counted weights) = 3.080000 → probability 0.9561

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.8962 to 0.9821, a spread of 0.0859.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
4bb890631c8e23c8

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes1c8e23c8, ea51932d

Summary

Supported. The main support is: GOLEM fastener-grasping success fell from 97% tethered to 37% under navigation-induced pose variance on a real battery pack. 291aa103

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 4bb89063

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:7cdd9c7e-ed17-8211-8a8c-ccfb97882b96

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
16907APPENDED
16908ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
16913LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
16943LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
16961TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "7cdd9c7e-ed17-8211-8a8c-ccfb97882b96",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "83d0040e-4ea9-8ab1-abbb-f5811c8e23c8",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "76f51820-0efc-8b89-aa3a-ac92291aa103",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "2.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "83d0040e-4ea9-8ab1-abbb-f5811c8e23c8",
      "link": "b004f6c7-f861-8e15-b4d4-d2bbea51932d",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "e3c5aed9-f5f7-8d5f-9119-1d894bb89063",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "c6ca74c8-f182-8960-b5a7-c4dbe0926836",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "2f0083a8-1f8c-805e-8be3-6034e306a8d3",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.080000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.080000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0859",
    "permissive": "0.9821",
    "conservative": "0.8962"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9561",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "3.080000",
  "snapshot_seq": 25794,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 2,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "83d0040e-4ea9-8ab1-abbb-f5811c8e23c8",
        "b004f6c7-f861-8e15-b4d4-d2bbea51932d"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "3.080000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 3
}