Claim

Model ledger-default@0.1.0 ledger-strict@0.1.0 ledger-default@0.2.0 ledger-strict@0.2.0 ledger-default@0.3.0 (default) ledger-strict@0.3.0 Snapshot seq

Topics

Public health · 1efd24fe Wildlife · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Why?

Strongest counted support: WHO reports that over half of 64 surveyed malaria-endemic countries reported moderate or severe malaria-service disruptions. weight 2.000000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt directly states that more than half of 64 surveyed malaria-endemic countries reported moderate or severe malaria-service disruptions.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

Your view

Registered views

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

• “WHO reported that funding cuts disrupted malaria services in more than half of 64 surveyed malaria-endemic countries, and put over 40% of planned...” · 2 claims · 28 September 2026

Evidence for

• WHO reports that over half of 64 surveyed malaria-endemic countries reported moderate or severe malaria-service disruptions.

  From Malaria progress in jeopardy amid foreign aid cuts Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

  The WHO page states the surveyed-country count and disruption severity.

• The excerpt directly states that more than half of 64 surveyed malaria-endemic countries reported moderate or severe malaria-service disruptions.

  From Malaria progress in jeopardy amid foreign aid cuts Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

  The passage directly supports the numerical population and disruption claim.

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

• KFF describes a rapid 2025 assessment of 108 WHO country offices covering 64 malaria-endemic countries.

  From The Trump Administration's Foreign Aid Review: Status of the President's Malaria Initiative (PMI) Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

  The passage supplies the survey year and sampling frame omitted from the target wording.

Suppressed as dependent

Evidence	Group	Kept instead
373ad8a6		8c17d326

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

From	Relationship	To
990ea175	NARROWS	3f4138e8

Review checklist

Review checks: 0 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author. No independent review yet. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	no

Summary

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
13180	APPENDED
13181	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
13192	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
13207	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
13265	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "87efb8d0-174b-8ec3-8cd9-58523f4138e8",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "301a45c9-bf07-82f0-92e3-f22a8c17d326",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "b352415d-5976-8f0a-b39b-8741a43094f8",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "2.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "301a45c9-bf07-82f0-92e3-f22a8c17d326",
      "link": "4154d529-505e-81ec-8137-87c12a30ce3f",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "486fa720-b767-8d19-a9f9-d8eb373ad8a6",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "d7fafcdc-245e-8d8b-8454-37046451d387",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "b6ba7ddf-c1b3-83ca-94a1-77cd08d1ae09",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1287",
    "permissive": "0.9309",
    "conservative": "0.8022"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8808",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "2.000000",
  "snapshot_seq": 13370,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.00",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "2.000000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 3
}