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Claim

The study identified three hominin fossils from approximately 167–134 thousand years ago and reported proteomic confirmation of those bones and two excavated teeth as Denisovan.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 20590

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 129 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 2, viewed 84, shared 41. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Archaeology · 1efd24fe Biology · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9734 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 1 by the author only

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 4 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:9a75d1fd-7b16-8183-a9b0-4fffad811435

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.A quoted passage is on the page but our reader could not line it up with it, because the publisher's markup interrupts the sentence.Every quoted passage was confirmed on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The primary study reports the fossil identifications, age range and proteomic attribution. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The quoted passage directly reports three fossils dated 167–134 thousand years ago and proteomic Denisovan attribution for them and two teeth.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9734 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability HIGH · 4 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:8ef886383d34ed3a17af7ea2668b2fcd8d9d36026dd51c20b6b1a43574408f36

Last changed at entry seq 25558; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
d9e7bf22 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 942de47e)
942de47e support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
1cbbbc07 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
3fd82380 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation ARCHAEOLOGICAL 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (non directional)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 3.600000 (the counted weights) = 3.600000 → probability 0.9734

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9255 to 0.9908, a spread of 0.0653.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
0d9891b6942de47e

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyesd9e7bf22, 942de47e, 1cbbbc07, 3fd82380

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The primary study reports the fossil identifications, age range and proteomic attribution. bef0c9b0

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 0d9891b6

Qualifier: The fossil count and broad 167–134 ka range combine specimens from two layers with distinct age intervals, while proteomic confirmation covered two selected teeth rather than all four excavated teeth. a3b0bc71

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:9a75d1fd-7b16-8183-a9b0-4fffad811435

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
20590APPENDED
20591ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
20606LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
20662LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
24519TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
25557TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "9a75d1fd-7b16-8183-a9b0-4fffad811435",
  "links": [
    {
      "kept": "dfd5477f-834e-8362-a580-6d40942de47e",
      "link": "dd2fdedb-0413-80fb-8f26-ac13d9e7bf22",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "a4e694fa-97b0-8d1e-a4ee-cdf70d9891b6",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "dfd5477f-834e-8362-a580-6d40942de47e",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "5b015d67-2975-8c5c-a76e-d658bef0c9b0",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "e7d0d53e-c1c8-8ca3-b46d-50a91cbbbc07",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "5cc66763-f230-847a-962f-d5060ad962dc",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "f1c4f46f-431d-839c-ac96-609e3fd82380",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "f66c568c-1594-8b86-8fc8-cfeea3b0bc71",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "ARCHAEOLOGICAL",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0653",
    "permissive": "0.9908",
    "conservative": "0.9255"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "OBSERVATIONAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9734",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "3.600000",
  "snapshot_seq": 25558,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 2,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "dd2fdedb-0413-80fb-8f26-ac13d9e7bf22",
        "dfd5477f-834e-8362-a580-6d40942de47e",
        "e7d0d53e-c1c8-8ca3-b46d-50a91cbbbc07",
        "f1c4f46f-431d-839c-ac96-609e3fd82380"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "3.600000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 4
}