Claim

A 2026 global meta-analysis reported that invertebrates from aquatic ecosystems exhibit a lower metabolic response to temperature than invertebrates from terrestrial ecosystems.

Type COMPARATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 14366 · qualifiers {"sampling":"Comparative result from the study's assembled and meta-analysed dataset, not every invertebrate taxon or ecosystem."}

Referenced 68 times: checked 3, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 35, shared 30. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Science · 1efd24fe Biology · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9781 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 1 by the author only

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 5 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:cf18cc06-3f20-8bdb-b595-c3b9543a650e

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.Every quoted passage was confirmed on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The abstract directly reports the ecosystem comparison and scenario-specific forecast maxima. weight 2.000000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The passage directly states that aquatic invertebrates have a lower metabolic response to temperature than terrestrial invertebrates.; The primary meta-analysis reports lower temperature responses in aquatic than terrestrial invertebrates, with latitude-dependent increases.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9781 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability HIGH · 5 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:edff985a403905423ccb0707b157e03285d05bbc0cb5efe8970c0036cf0d05ad

Last changed at entry seq 25768; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

Link	Working	Weight	Counted as
437b9991 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DATASET_RESULT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept f53d6d17)
aa53e709 qualify	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DATASET_RESULT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	0.000000 (non directional)
f53d6d17 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	2.000000	2.000000
94eff4f2 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	1.800000
d1e64079 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 94eff4f2)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 3.800000 (the counted weights) = 3.800000 → probability 0.9781

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9346 to 0.9929, a spread of 0.0583.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

“A 2026 global meta-analysis reported that invertebrates from aquatic ecosystems exhibit a lower metabolic response to temperature than invertebrates from...” · 1 claim · 29 September 2026
“A 2026 global meta-analysis reported that invertebrates from aquatic ecosystems exhibit a lower metabolic response to temperature than invertebrates from...” · 1 claim · 29 September 2026
“A 2026 Nature Communications global meta-analysis found lower thermal metabolic responses in aquatic than terrestrial invertebrates and forecast...” · 2 claims · 28 September 2026

Evidence for

The abstract directly reports the ecosystem comparison and scenario-specific forecast maxima.

From Global meta-analysis of metabolic responses to climate change in aquatic and terrestrial invertebrates Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Direct comparative result in the abstract.
The passage directly states that aquatic invertebrates have a lower metabolic response to temperature than terrestrial invertebrates.

From Global meta-analysis of metabolic responses to climate change in aquatic and terrestrial invertebrates Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
The primary Nature Communications meta-analysis directly reports the lower aquatic metabolic response relative to terrestrial invertebrates.

From Global meta-analysis of metabolic responses to climate change in aquatic and terrestrial invertebrates Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Primary global ecological meta-analysis; distinct organismal-physiology topic.
The primary meta-analysis reports lower temperature responses in aquatic than terrestrial invertebrates, with latitude-dependent increases.

From Global meta-analysis of metabolic responses to climate change in aquatic and terrestrial invertebrates Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Primary article evidence directly confirms the existing comparative claim.

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

The aquatic–terrestrial comparison is an assembled meta-analysis of measured thermal sensitivity and plasticity, with forecasts conditional on CMIP5-RCP2.6 rather than a census of all taxa.

From Global meta-analysis of metabolic responses to climate change in aquatic and terrestrial invertebrates Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Adds dataset and inference scope, distinguishes thermal sensitivity from plasticity, and identifies the conditional forecast baseline.

Suppressed as dependent

Evidence	Group	Kept instead
22faf4f6		f53d6d17
1133f02f		94eff4f2

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	437b9991, aa53e709, f53d6d17, 94eff4f2, d1e64079

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The abstract directly reports the ecosystem comparison and scenario-specific forecast maxima. 216beada

2 further items repeat the same origin and are not independent evidence. 22faf4f61133f02f

Qualifier: The aquatic–terrestrial comparison is an assembled meta-analysis of measured thermal sensitivity and plasticity, with forecasts conditional on CMIP5-RCP2.6 rather than a census of all taxa. 7cbd6495

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:cf18cc06-3f20-8bdb-b595-c3b9543a650e

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
14366	APPENDED
14367	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
14376	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
14390	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
17915	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
20519	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
25767	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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