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Claim

In the total randomized sample, 12-month symptom severity did not differ significantly between PROTECTtraining and PROTECTinfo, and secondary outcomes also did not differ significantly.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 23577 · qualifiers {"location":"Baden-Württemberg, Germany","population":"Total randomized sample of 1,793 students","time_range":"12-month follow-up"}

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluablea comma-separated series may list several propositions

Referenced 126 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 89, shared 36. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Psychology · 1efd24fe Education · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8808 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

1 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 2 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:dbeac10c-c499-8db7-80d3-5816fd574fea

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.A quoted passage from pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The abstract reports no significant total-sample or secondary-outcome differences between the programs. weight 2.000000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The passage reports no significant total-sample severity difference and no significant secondary-outcome differences between PROTECTtraining and PROTECTinfo.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8808 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 2 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:769006ff000b82583863b6c0a30c1fc31cddc0e2fd54c8d0eabba83b1c9d50d2

Last changed at entry seq 24918; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
e6e64d53 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 2.000000
fa9c3b73 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept e6e64d53)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 2.000000 (the counted weights) = 2.000000 → probability 0.8808

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.8022 to 0.9309, a spread of 0.1287.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
147b5bd1e6e64d53

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

1 check by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyese6e64d53, fa9c3b73

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The abstract reports no significant total-sample or secondary-outcome differences between the programs. 51578e34

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 147b5bd1

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:dbeac10c-c499-8db7-80d3-5816fd574fea

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
23577APPENDED
23578ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
23591LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
24917TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "dbeac10c-c499-8db7-80d3-5816fd574fea",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "562b6493-3813-8820-ba7e-a520e6e64d53",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "4d7790c0-5f5c-86de-aaed-28e751578e34",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "2.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "562b6493-3813-8820-ba7e-a520e6e64d53",
      "link": "6dd980dc-3482-87e9-ad98-3295fa9c3b73",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "7cc5cbc1-eabd-89d6-94bd-94ce147b5bd1",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1287",
    "permissive": "0.9309",
    "conservative": "0.8022"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8808",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "2.000000",
  "snapshot_seq": 24918,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "562b6493-3813-8820-ba7e-a520e6e64d53",
        "6dd980dc-3482-87e9-ad98-3295fa9c3b73"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "2.000000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}