Where we are most likely to be wrong
Deterministic lists as of snapshot 27790 under ledger-default@0.3.0. Each entry shows what would most change it.
unfinished outlines (0)
None.
strained inferences (0)
None.
low coverage scored (695 of 500 kept)
provisional (1071 of 500 kept)
| Claim | State | Detail | What would most change this |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Navier–Stokes equations describe fluid motion and are used in aircraft design, weather forecasting, and the study of blood flow. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Emad Mostaque's Champion proposal allocates 10% of a local AI and robotics company's equity to residents under 21 and issues additional equity to children born later. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Nvidia disclosed $99 billion in equity investments and $25 billion in additional equity investment commitments as of July 26, 2026. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| On September 18, 2026, Donald Trump announced on Truth Social that CNN, MS NOW and Politico were barred from the White House, saying other outlets would follow. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Trump's Truth Social post announcing the ban also asserted that the US government paid Politico an illegal $8 million subscription. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| In the Oval Office on September 18, 2026, Trump referred to his own action as the ban on the free press. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Trump used the phrase "ban on the free press" while restating a reporter's question about what the ban would look like, not while announcing it. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Asked whether he was trying to intimidate the press, Trump said he dislikes dishonest press, told the reporter she was terrible, and said he likes to see honest press. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Trump said a court should not allow fake news to be written day after day, and that what a court allows depends on the judge. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| Trump said he does not get fair press, that he gets it from Breitbart and a little from Fox, and that Fox has the worst polls in the business. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Trump's Breitbart remark came in answer to a question about whether the ban would survive a court challenge, not a question about which outlets cover him fairly. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Trump called the New York Times and Washington Post fake news and said those papers would probably no longer be displayed in the White House. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Asked what the ban means in practice, Trump replied "which ban?" and said he has more bans going than any human being. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Asked about Xi Jinping's visit and China's record on journalists, Trump said he did not know about that and that the United States is repressive also. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Trump said the state dinner for Xi Jinping is a very tough ticket and that he has told good friends of his that they cannot come. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Xi Jinping's state visit to the White House is scheduled for September 23-24, 2026, the week after Trump's September 18 remarks. | Contradicted | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved. |
| Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk, Sundar Pichai and Michael Dell are on the announced guest list for the Xi Jinping state dinner. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders said it is hard to argue against a free press while standing in the Oval Office asking the president questions. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Sanders also said the president is right to support the First Amendment and right to ask that the press be honest and fair. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| WHCA president Jacqui Heinrich said Trump described his own planned action as a ban on the free press, and that the Constitution protects press freedom from government interference. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| At the same Oval Office event Trump said he grabbed the first lady's back or another part of her body on the stalled escalator. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Trump said it is not believable, and not possible in a world of rationality, that a Jewish person or a Black person could vote for a Democrat. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Trump's remark about Jewish and Black voters came in an answer about the streamer Hasan Piker, not in his remarks about the press ban. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| At the same event Trump announced that all 50 states had signed on to a most-favored-nation program to lower prescription drug prices. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Trump provided no detail about the 50-state drug pricing deal he announced at the September 18, 2026 Oval Office event. | Contradicted | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Contradicted. |
independence unreviewed (1069 of 500 kept)
| Claim | State | Detail | What would most change this |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nvidia disclosed $99 billion in equity investments and $25 billion in additional equity investment commitments as of July 26, 2026. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":7} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| On September 18, 2026, Donald Trump announced on Truth Social that CNN, MS NOW and Politico were barred from the White House, saying other outlets would follow. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":8} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Trump's Truth Social post announcing the ban also asserted that the US government paid Politico an illegal $8 million subscription. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| In the Oval Office on September 18, 2026, Trump referred to his own action as the ban on the free press. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":5} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Trump used the phrase "ban on the free press" while restating a reporter's question about what the ban would look like, not while announcing it. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":2} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Asked whether he was trying to intimidate the press, Trump said he dislikes dishonest press, told the reporter she was terrible, and said he likes to see honest press. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Trump said a court should not allow fake news to be written day after day, and that what a court allows depends on the judge. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":4} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| Trump said he does not get fair press, that he gets it from Breitbart and a little from Fox, and that Fox has the worst polls in the business. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Trump's Breitbart remark came in answer to a question about whether the ban would survive a court challenge, not a question about which outlets cover him fairly. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":2} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Trump called the New York Times and Washington Post fake news and said those papers would probably no longer be displayed in the White House. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Asked what the ban means in practice, Trump replied "which ban?" and said he has more bans going than any human being. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":2} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Asked about Xi Jinping's visit and China's record on journalists, Trump said he did not know about that and that the United States is repressive also. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Trump said the state dinner for Xi Jinping is a very tough ticket and that he has told good friends of his that they cannot come. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Xi Jinping's state visit to the White House is scheduled for September 23-24, 2026, the week after Trump's September 18 remarks. | Contradicted | {"independence_unreviewed":6} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved. |
| Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk, Sundar Pichai and Michael Dell are on the announced guest list for the Xi Jinping state dinner. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":4} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders said it is hard to argue against a free press while standing in the Oval Office asking the president questions. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":4} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Sanders also said the president is right to support the First Amendment and right to ask that the press be honest and fair. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":2} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| WHCA president Jacqui Heinrich said Trump described his own planned action as a ban on the free press, and that the Constitution protects press freedom from government interference. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| At the same Oval Office event Trump said he grabbed the first lady's back or another part of her body on the stalled escalator. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Trump said it is not believable, and not possible in a world of rationality, that a Jewish person or a Black person could vote for a Democrat. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Trump's remark about Jewish and Black voters came in an answer about the streamer Hasan Piker, not in his remarks about the press ban. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| At the same event Trump announced that all 50 states had signed on to a most-favored-nation program to lower prescription drug prices. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Trump provided no detail about the 50-state drug pricing deal he announced at the September 18, 2026 Oval Office event. | Contradicted | {"independence_unreviewed":6} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Contradicted. |
| Trump cut off NBC's Kelly O'Donnell with "Not you" before she finished a follow-up question and pointed to a different reporter. | Contradicted | {"independence_unreviewed":5} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved. |
| At the September 18, 2026 Oval Office event Trump took credit for foreign leaders being elected to office. | Leans supported | {"independence_unreviewed":8} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Leans contradicted. |
contested (87)
None.
models disagree (194)
None.
high impact insufficient (0)
None.
disputed audits (0)
None.