Galedra
Sign in Sign up

Where we are most likely to be wrong

Deterministic lists as of snapshot 27790 under ledger-default@0.3.0. Each entry shows what would most change it.

unfinished outlines (0)

None.

strained inferences (0)

None.

low coverage scored (695 of 500 kept)

Showing 301 to 325 of 695. Previous Next

ClaimStateDetailWhat would most change this
The star S301 near Sagittarius A* has an 8.7-year orbit and reaches a peak orbital speed of about 25,000 kilometres per second.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
In a phase 1, first-in-human trial of mRNA-1215 in 40 healthy adults, no serious adverse events occurred during the study.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
In the phase 1 mRNA-1215 trial, antibody responses increased after the booster dose and remained elevated for at least one year.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Across 15 globally analyzed subduction zones, interface roughness parameters measured at 1–10 km scales were unrelated to a proxy for maximum earthquake magnitude and to geodetically constrained interface coupling.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
The global subduction-zone analysis found a strong positive relationship between geodetically constrained interface coupling and earthquake magnitude.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
A 2026 study evaluated LLM predictions using an archive of 70 preregistered US survey experiments containing 469 experimental effects and 119,330 participants.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
In that study, GPT-4-derived predictions were strongly correlated with observed treatment effects at a level similar to pooled human forecasts, but systematically overestimated effect sizes.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
In a randomized trial of 46 patients with lumbar disc herniation, both brochure-based and web telerehabilitation home exercise improved most outcomes; baseline-adjusted analyses favored telerehabilitation for activity-related pain and dynamic lumbar muscle performance, but not overall superiority.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
In a single-center randomized trial of 288 low-risk adults undergoing elective thyroid surgery, omitting face-mask ventilation caused no observed desaturation in either group, but formal non-inferiority was not established because the trial stopped early; exploratory gastric insufflation occurred only with ventilation.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
In a triple-masked randomized trial of 75 adults with subacromial pain syndrome, clinician-curated ChatGPT-4o and DeepSeek-R1 exercise programs added to standard physiotherapy did not improve six-week shoulder disability more than conventional programming, although an exploratory resting-pain difference favored DeepSeek-R1.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
Chromosome-scale assemblies of six Salicornia species revealed four distinct subgenomes and enabled correction of chromosome numbering and orientation relative to existing references.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
Population-genetic analyses of 318 Salicornia accessions identified a contrasting chromosome-6A signal between two species and highlighted an OSCA calcium-permeable channel gene as a candidate locus for osmotic adaptation.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
Whole-genome data from 101 museum specimens indicate an approximately 24.6% reduction in genome-wide heterozygosity in the moss carder bumblebee across Britain between 1894 and 2019.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
The moss carder bumblebee showed a 2.86-fold increase in runs of homozygosity in England and Wales over the museum-sampled period, where habitat fragmentation was most pronounced.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
In a murine MRSA infection model, IMP-2380 combined with ciprofloxacin produced a significant 100-fold reduction in bacterial burden, with three of five infections below the assay detection limit.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
A 2.52-angstrom cryo-electron microscopy structure showed IMP-2380 bound to NorA in an outward-open conformation that occludes the substrate-binding cavity.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
A 2026 comparative analysis of overlapping genes across 253 prokaryotic, 115 plant, and 111 animal genomes found co-oriented overlaps predominant in prokaryotes and nested overlaps predominant in eukaryotes, with distinct lineage-specific gain/loss and expression patterns.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
A global analysis estimated that rain-induced effects increase ocean carbon uptake by 13.6% relative to a wind-only calculation.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
The study estimated that current global carbon-budget calculations may underestimate the ocean carbon sink by 10 ± 5% because they omit rain effects.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
A 2026 systematic review and meta-analysis reported that laboratory-confirmed enteric infection was associated with higher odds of childhood stunting, while grading the certainty of the evidence as very low.Supported{"review_checks_done":0}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
A reported 13-year follow-up of a Danish randomized trial found no significant adolescent bone-mineral or fracture benefit from 2800 IU/day prenatal vitamin D compared with the standard 400 IU/day recommendation, despite earlier childhood gains.Supported{"review_checks_done":0}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
The 518-million-year-old fossil Yujingia glutenotunica is phylogenetically placed within a grade of tentaculate fossils immediately basal to the last common ancestor of modern ambulacrarians.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
Yujingia preserved pinnate arms with filter-feeding grooves, and the study inferred that ancestral ambulacrarians evolved from semi-sessile organisms with complex suspension-feeding adaptations.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
Two Canjuers fossil specimens represent the new thalassochelydian species Caesaria templaria, characterized by a medium-sized skull, short snout, and a well-developed pygal bone lacking a pygal notch.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
The Canjuers locality preserves the youngest Jurassic turtle fauna currently known from Europe.Supported{"review_checks_done":1}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

provisional (1071 of 500 kept)

Showing 301 to 325 of 1071. Previous Next

ClaimStateDetailWhat would most change this
The Navier–Stokes equations describe fluid motion and are used in aircraft design, weather forecasting, and the study of blood flow.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Emad Mostaque's Champion proposal allocates 10% of a local AI and robotics company's equity to residents under 21 and issues additional equity to children born later.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Nvidia disclosed $99 billion in equity investments and $25 billion in additional equity investment commitments as of July 26, 2026.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
On September 18, 2026, Donald Trump announced on Truth Social that CNN, MS NOW and Politico were barred from the White House, saying other outlets would follow.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Trump's Truth Social post announcing the ban also asserted that the US government paid Politico an illegal $8 million subscription.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
In the Oval Office on September 18, 2026, Trump referred to his own action as the ban on the free press.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Trump used the phrase "ban on the free press" while restating a reporter's question about what the ban would look like, not while announcing it.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Asked whether he was trying to intimidate the press, Trump said he dislikes dishonest press, told the reporter she was terrible, and said he likes to see honest press.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Trump said a court should not allow fake news to be written day after day, and that what a court allows depends on the judge.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
Trump said he does not get fair press, that he gets it from Breitbart and a little from Fox, and that Fox has the worst polls in the business.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Trump's Breitbart remark came in answer to a question about whether the ban would survive a court challenge, not a question about which outlets cover him fairly.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Trump called the New York Times and Washington Post fake news and said those papers would probably no longer be displayed in the White House.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Asked what the ban means in practice, Trump replied "which ban?" and said he has more bans going than any human being.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Asked about Xi Jinping's visit and China's record on journalists, Trump said he did not know about that and that the United States is repressive also.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Trump said the state dinner for Xi Jinping is a very tough ticket and that he has told good friends of his that they cannot come.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Xi Jinping's state visit to the White House is scheduled for September 23-24, 2026, the week after Trump's September 18 remarks.Contradicted{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved.
Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk, Sundar Pichai and Michael Dell are on the announced guest list for the Xi Jinping state dinner.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Sarah Huckabee Sanders said it is hard to argue against a free press while standing in the Oval Office asking the president questions.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Sanders also said the president is right to support the First Amendment and right to ask that the press be honest and fair.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
WHCA president Jacqui Heinrich said Trump described his own planned action as a ban on the free press, and that the Constitution protects press freedom from government interference.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
At the same Oval Office event Trump said he grabbed the first lady's back or another part of her body on the stalled escalator.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Trump said it is not believable, and not possible in a world of rationality, that a Jewish person or a Black person could vote for a Democrat.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Trump's remark about Jewish and Black voters came in an answer about the streamer Hasan Piker, not in his remarks about the press ban.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
At the same event Trump announced that all 50 states had signed on to a most-favored-nation program to lower prescription drug prices.Supported{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Trump provided no detail about the 50-state drug pricing deal he announced at the September 18, 2026 Oval Office event.Contradicted{"provisional":true}One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Contradicted.

independence unreviewed (1069 of 500 kept)

Showing 301 to 325 of 1069. Previous Next

ClaimStateDetailWhat would most change this
Nvidia disclosed $99 billion in equity investments and $25 billion in additional equity investment commitments as of July 26, 2026.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":7}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
On September 18, 2026, Donald Trump announced on Truth Social that CNN, MS NOW and Politico were barred from the White House, saying other outlets would follow.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":8}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Trump's Truth Social post announcing the ban also asserted that the US government paid Politico an illegal $8 million subscription.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
In the Oval Office on September 18, 2026, Trump referred to his own action as the ban on the free press.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":5}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Trump used the phrase "ban on the free press" while restating a reporter's question about what the ban would look like, not while announcing it.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":2}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Asked whether he was trying to intimidate the press, Trump said he dislikes dishonest press, told the reporter she was terrible, and said he likes to see honest press.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Trump said a court should not allow fake news to be written day after day, and that what a court allows depends on the judge.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":4}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
Trump said he does not get fair press, that he gets it from Breitbart and a little from Fox, and that Fox has the worst polls in the business.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Trump's Breitbart remark came in answer to a question about whether the ban would survive a court challenge, not a question about which outlets cover him fairly.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":2}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Trump called the New York Times and Washington Post fake news and said those papers would probably no longer be displayed in the White House.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Asked what the ban means in practice, Trump replied "which ban?" and said he has more bans going than any human being.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":2}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Asked about Xi Jinping's visit and China's record on journalists, Trump said he did not know about that and that the United States is repressive also.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Trump said the state dinner for Xi Jinping is a very tough ticket and that he has told good friends of his that they cannot come.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Xi Jinping's state visit to the White House is scheduled for September 23-24, 2026, the week after Trump's September 18 remarks.Contradicted{"independence_unreviewed":6}One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved.
Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk, Sundar Pichai and Michael Dell are on the announced guest list for the Xi Jinping state dinner.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":4}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Sarah Huckabee Sanders said it is hard to argue against a free press while standing in the Oval Office asking the president questions.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":4}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Sanders also said the president is right to support the First Amendment and right to ask that the press be honest and fair.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":2}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
WHCA president Jacqui Heinrich said Trump described his own planned action as a ban on the free press, and that the Constitution protects press freedom from government interference.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
At the same Oval Office event Trump said he grabbed the first lady's back or another part of her body on the stalled escalator.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Trump said it is not believable, and not possible in a world of rationality, that a Jewish person or a Black person could vote for a Democrat.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Trump's remark about Jewish and Black voters came in an answer about the streamer Hasan Piker, not in his remarks about the press ban.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
At the same event Trump announced that all 50 states had signed on to a most-favored-nation program to lower prescription drug prices.Supported{"independence_unreviewed":3}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Trump provided no detail about the 50-state drug pricing deal he announced at the September 18, 2026 Oval Office event.Contradicted{"independence_unreviewed":6}One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Contradicted.
Trump cut off NBC's Kelly O'Donnell with "Not you" before she finished a follow-up question and pointed to a different reporter.Contradicted{"independence_unreviewed":5}One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved.
At the September 18, 2026 Oval Office event Trump took credit for foreign leaders being elected to office.Leans supported{"independence_unreviewed":8}One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Leans contradicted.

contested (87)

Showing 301 to 87 of 87. Previous

None.

models disagree (194)

Showing 301 to 194 of 194. Previous

None.

high impact insufficient (0)

None.

disputed audits (0)

None.