Where we are most likely to be wrong

Deterministic lists as of snapshot 27790 under ledger-default@0.3.0. Each entry shows what would most change it.

unfinished outlines (0)

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strained inferences (0)

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low coverage scored (695 of 500 kept)

Showing 351 to 375 of 695. Previous Next

Claim	State	Detail	What would most change this
For Markovian many-body quantum systems in the delocalized-decay regime, the study derived maximal decay-rate scaling Rstar proportional to N times the largest collective transition rate Gamma_max, up to asymptotic factors.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
For ordered atomic arrays in free space, the study reported that maximal decay rate divided by the individual decay rate scales with atom number as N^(3/2 − 1/(2D)) for array dimensionality D equal to 1, 2 or 3.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
A two-week pilot randomized trial of guided nature-based mindfulness versus unstructured outdoor walking found numerically favorable but non-significant differences in mental well-being and perceived stress, with no significant between-group difference in nature connectedness.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
In the NOHARM stepped-wedge cluster-randomized trial across six surgical centers, an EHR-based strategy promoting nondrug pain management reduced postoperative opioid exposure without worsening patient-reported pain interference, physical function, or reported safety outcomes.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":0}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
Proteomic analysis identified five Denisovan specimens from Bianfu Cave: three newly identified hominin bone fragments and two previously excavated hominin teeth.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
In the study’s Bayesian protein phylogenies, each of the five Bianfu Cave samples formed a monophyletic group with Denisova 3 with posterior probability of 100%.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
The study identified Bianfu Cave as a Denisovan locality with the most abundant Denisovan remains outside Denisova Cave in Siberia at the time of the report.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
In the study, appending aniline hydrogen-bond donors to a zinc tris(2-pyridylmethyl)amine complex increased first-event nitrate binding affinity from 0.18 ± 0.04 M−1 to (1.5 ± 0.6) × 10^6 M−1, a difference of about seven orders of magnitude.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Under the reported thermal catalytic conditions, the iron complex converted nitrate to nitric oxide with a measured 68% yield in the trapping experiment.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Under the reported optimized photochemical conditions, the iron complex produced ammonium in 85% yield, and the study reported a maximum turnover number of 10,000 for the catalyst variant ICF3-OTf, with a scaled experiment at 0.001 mol% catalyst giving a turnover number of 5,000.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
In the randomized phase 3 LONESTAR trial of 166 immunotherapy-naive patients with metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer, adding local consolidative radiation or surgery after nivolumab plus ipilimumab did not significantly improve overall or progression-free survival.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":0}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
Across coral reef, mangrove, seagrass, and kelp ecosystems, fish species richness positively predicted the temporal stability of consumer-mediated nutrient dynamics measured as nitrogen supply via excretion.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
Within marine ecosystems, species asynchrony was the strongest predictor of fish-mediated nutrient-dynamics stability, with higher synchrony associated with destabilization.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
In the study’s pooled five-country trials, phone-call and SMS tutoring produced an estimated 3.6 learning-adjusted years of schooling per US$100 spent.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
In the study’s Nepal and Philippines delivery comparison, government teachers improved learning by 0.40 operation levels and NGO teacher aides by 0.30 operation levels.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
In the Uganda trial, phone-call tutorials increased learning by 1.193 operation levels and increased the share reaching the highest proficiency level by 34.4 percentage points.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
In the study’s Indian hospital-based analysis, three ROTASIIL doses had estimated adjusted effectiveness of 88% against rotavirus-gastroenteritis hospitalization among children aged 3–5 months.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
In the study’s Indian hospital-based analysis, three ROTASIIL doses had estimated adjusted effectiveness of 56% against moderate rotavirus gastroenteritis and 54% against severe rotavirus gastroenteritis among children aged 3–23 months.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
The study analyzed 2,243 children aged 3–23 months hospitalized with acute gastroenteritis, of whom 638 were ELISA-positive for rotavirus.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Soil bacterial temporal turnover and seasonal community divergence were greater in forest gaps than in adjacent closed-canopy soils in a subtropical karst forest.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Gap soils had more densely connected but topologically simplified microbial co-occurrence networks with fewer keystone taxa, and predicted functional potential was associated with both keystone structure and whole-community structure rather than keystone structure alone.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
For agricultural lime added since 1900 in the Mississippi River Basin, approximately 90% of its ideal CO2-removal potential—about 0.44 GtCO2—was estimated to have been realized at catchment scale, with a decadal-scale lag.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
In a 15-cluster Singapore randomized trial, releases of irradiated Wolbachia wAlbB-infected male Aedes aegypti were associated with time-varying reductions in dengue incidence and an estimated 2,351 cases averted, though the effect attenuated during an inter-epidemic period.	Leans supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Contradicted.
In an 11.5-hectare, four-year Welsh reforestation field trial, crushed silicate rock increased aboveground carbon stocks by 27% in broadleaf stands but not significantly in spruce, while soil inoculation effects varied by tree species and diminished over time.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
In a 39-day North Sea mesocosm experiment, phytoplankton bloom dynamics were largely unaffected by alkalinity additions up to about 700 micromoles per kilogram, whereas additions of at least about 900 delayed bloom development by 6 to 9 days and reduced some particulate organic matter components.	Supported	{"review_checks_done":1}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

provisional (1071 of 500 kept)

Showing 351 to 375 of 1071. Previous Next

Claim	State	Detail	What would most change this
The Mercer family financially supported Trump's presidential rise from the beginning.	Supported	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Steve Bannon once described Breitbart as the platform for the alt-right.	Supported	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
Trump made his remark praising Breitbart in response to being asked which outlets cover him fairly.	Contradicted	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Leans contradicted.
AFP's Danny Kemp asked Trump what signal the ban sent given Xi Jinping's White House visit in the coming weeks and China's record on journalists.	Supported	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans contradicted.
Trump replied that he did not know about that, that he thinks the United States is repressive also, that the country gets fake news, and that it does not repress but they write fake news.	Supported	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Trump compared the United States' treatment of the press to China's.	Supported	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
In China the Communist Party controls all media, there is no independent press, and the Chinese people have no access to information about their own country unless the government has approved it.	Supported	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Sarah Huckabee Sanders, who served as Trump's press secretary in his first term and is now governor of Arkansas, was present in the Oval Office on September 18, 2026 and defended the press ban.	Supported	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
Sanders jumped in on her own initiative to defend the president and his press ban.	Contradicted	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved.
Jacqui Heinrich is president of the White House Correspondents' Association and a Fox News reporter.	Supported	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Heinrich's statement said Trump described his own planned action in the Oval Office as a ban on the free press, and that press protection does not depend on whether the president likes an outlet's coverage, agrees with its reporting, or approves of its questions.	Supported	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Representative Jim McGovern said fascist and communist governments limit press access to favorable outlets, persecute journalists and suppress truthful reporting, and that Trump's administration is doing all of that.	Supported	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
The Freedom of the Press Foundation said it is difficult to imagine a more blatant violation of the First Amendment than banning news outlets from the People's House for criticizing the government, and that the attacks show how scared Trump is of an informed public.	Supported	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Senator Chuck Schumer wrote that Donald Trump just did what dictators throughout history have done.	Supported	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Reporters Without Borders said press access is not a privilege for journalists but a right.	Supported	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Nicolle Wallace said Trump wants people to be afraid to cover him aggressively and that this seems to be the intent of the ban.	Supported	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Trump is polling terribly ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.	Supported	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Trump announced the press ban because he knows the only way to hide his poor polling and his presidential failures is to stop the media from reporting the truth.	Unresolved	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Unresolved to Supported.
Trump will most likely lose in court over the September 2026 press ban.	Not assessed	{"provisional":true}
France deliberately fed Donald Trump false intelligence as a test of whether he would leak it to Vladimir Putin.	Insufficient evidence	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Insufficient evidence to Supported.
Ukraine deliberately fed Donald Trump false intelligence as a test of whether he would leak it to Vladimir Putin.	Contradicted	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved.
Donald Trump leaked the planted false intelligence from France and Ukraine to Vladimir Putin.	Contradicted	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved.
European high-speed trains operate at up to 200 mph (320 km/h) in commercial service.	Supported	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Passenger trains through the Alps top out at 250 km/h (155 mph).	Supported	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
The most congested road corridor in the US is a stretch of I-95 in Connecticut.	Supported	{"provisional":true}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

independence unreviewed (1069 of 500 kept)

Showing 351 to 375 of 1069. Previous Next

Claim	State	Detail	What would most change this
Trump made his remark praising Breitbart in response to being asked which outlets cover him fairly.	Contradicted	{"independence_unreviewed":5}	One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Leans contradicted.
AFP's Danny Kemp asked Trump what signal the ban sent given Xi Jinping's White House visit in the coming weeks and China's record on journalists.	Supported	{"independence_unreviewed":6}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans contradicted.
Trump replied that he did not know about that, that he thinks the United States is repressive also, that the country gets fake news, and that it does not repress but they write fake news.	Supported	{"independence_unreviewed":2}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Trump compared the United States' treatment of the press to China's.	Supported	{"independence_unreviewed":5}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
In China the Communist Party controls all media, there is no independent press, and the Chinese people have no access to information about their own country unless the government has approved it.	Supported	{"independence_unreviewed":5}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Sarah Huckabee Sanders, who served as Trump's press secretary in his first term and is now governor of Arkansas, was present in the Oval Office on September 18, 2026 and defended the press ban.	Supported	{"independence_unreviewed":3}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
Sanders jumped in on her own initiative to defend the president and his press ban.	Contradicted	{"independence_unreviewed":3}	One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved.
Jacqui Heinrich is president of the White House Correspondents' Association and a Fox News reporter.	Supported	{"independence_unreviewed":3}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Heinrich's statement said Trump described his own planned action in the Oval Office as a ban on the free press, and that press protection does not depend on whether the president likes an outlet's coverage, agrees with its reporting, or approves of its questions.	Supported	{"independence_unreviewed":7}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Representative Jim McGovern said fascist and communist governments limit press access to favorable outlets, persecute journalists and suppress truthful reporting, and that Trump's administration is doing all of that.	Supported	{"independence_unreviewed":2}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
The Freedom of the Press Foundation said it is difficult to imagine a more blatant violation of the First Amendment than banning news outlets from the People's House for criticizing the government, and that the attacks show how scared Trump is of an informed public.	Supported	{"independence_unreviewed":6}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Senator Chuck Schumer wrote that Donald Trump just did what dictators throughout history have done.	Supported	{"independence_unreviewed":2}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Reporters Without Borders said press access is not a privilege for journalists but a right.	Supported	{"independence_unreviewed":2}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Nicolle Wallace said Trump wants people to be afraid to cover him aggressively and that this seems to be the intent of the ban.	Supported	{"independence_unreviewed":2}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Trump is polling terribly ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.	Supported	{"independence_unreviewed":9}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Trump announced the press ban because he knows the only way to hide his poor polling and his presidential failures is to stop the media from reporting the truth.	Unresolved	{"independence_unreviewed":8}	One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Unresolved to Supported.
Trump will most likely lose in court over the September 2026 press ban.	Not assessed	{"independence_unreviewed":2}
France deliberately fed Donald Trump false intelligence as a test of whether he would leak it to Vladimir Putin.	Insufficient evidence	{"independence_unreviewed":3}	One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Insufficient evidence to Supported.
Ukraine deliberately fed Donald Trump false intelligence as a test of whether he would leak it to Vladimir Putin.	Contradicted	{"independence_unreviewed":6}	One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved.
Donald Trump leaked the planted false intelligence from France and Ukraine to Vladimir Putin.	Contradicted	{"independence_unreviewed":4}	One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved.
European high-speed trains operate at up to 200 mph (320 km/h) in commercial service.	Supported	{"independence_unreviewed":3}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
Passenger trains through the Alps top out at 250 km/h (155 mph).	Supported	{"independence_unreviewed":2}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
The most congested road corridor in the US is a stretch of I-95 in Connecticut.	Supported	{"independence_unreviewed":5}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
As of early September 2026, publicly downloadable open-weight AI model checkpoints had no vendor-operated remote kill switch built into the weights themselves.	Supported	{"independence_unreviewed":3}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
OpenAI said no specific user data was accessed to solve the Navier–Stokes problem, while it could not rule out de-identified product-usage data helping improve its models.	Supported	{"independence_unreviewed":2}	One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

contested (87)

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models disagree (194)

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high impact insufficient (0)

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disputed audits (0)

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