Deterministic lists as of snapshot 27745 under ledger-default@0.3.0. Each entry shows what would most change it.
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| Claim | State | Detail | What would most change this |
|---|
| In the PATHFINDER 2 study, among 32,007 performance-analyzable participants, the multi-cancer early-detection test had a 0.54% cancer detection rate, 60.3% positive predictive value, 99.2% negative predictive value, and 99.64% specificity. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| The reported seawater-hydrogen system operated stably for 100 days at 20 kW, producing 3.8 Nm³ h⁻¹ hydrogen and 1.2 kg h⁻¹ freshwater; at 250 kW it produced 48 Nm³ h⁻¹ hydrogen and 31.6 kg h⁻¹ freshwater, with 14.4% higher electrical efficiency than alkaline electrolysis using freshwater alone. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| The reported process couples alkaline seawater electrolysis with low-temperature desalination, using electrolyser waste heat to distill seawater and provide freshwater for electrolysis and external use. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| A resurrection experiment in common morning glory found that changing genetic covariance structures increasingly constrained evolutionary trajectories, limiting adaptation of flowering phenology despite selection for rapid change. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| In a 3,587-site dataset from Neolithic China, settlement intensity was increasingly concentrated along terrain-accessible corridors from 5000 to 2500 BCE, but this association weakened from 2500 to 2000 BCE as concentration shifted toward intermediate-accessibility settings. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| In a Europe-wide model conditional on green-hydrogen diffusion resembling natural-gas power-plant diffusion, targeting the most central offtakers reduced median policy cost per additional kilogram by 37–41%, while adding a 10% centrality criterion to a hydrogen-bank-style auction improved cost-effectiveness by 13–15%. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| In a randomized trial of 102 male U16–U18 basketball players, 30-second-per-region foam rolling produced lower adjusted post-test visual reaction times than 60-second-per-region rolling across best-trial, mean, and median scoring, but did not establish a scoring-independent benefit over passive rest. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| In two UR10 tabletop scenes, the navigation-function-supervised SE(3) neural potential field converged within 3 cm of the grasp from every start and produced collision-free paths against ground-truth geometry, whereas image-only supervision produced 25% and 0% collision-free rates in the two scenes. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":0} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| In the reported two-scene comparison, the neural potential-field planner took about 2 seconds, versus 67–133 seconds for RRT* on a reconstruction of the same images. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":0} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| In a pragmatic cluster-randomized trial across 16 Kenyan primary-care facilities, LLM-assisted clinical officers did not significantly change 14-day treatment-failure rates versus control: 2.2% versus 2.0% (adjusted odds ratio 0.77, 95% CI 0.55–1.08, P=0.13). | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| The study of preservice English teachers surveyed 202 participants, used hierarchical regression, and followed up with semi-structured interviews involving 7 participants. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Among preservice English teachers, resilience was positively associated with academic self-efficacy; informational teacher support significantly strengthened that association, whereas emotional teacher support did not significantly moderate it. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| In the reported laser-powder-bed-fused Ti–7.5Al–3.3Cr alloy, sub-10-nm hetero-stacking bands coincided with a measured yield strength of about 1.50 GPa, ultimate tensile strength of 1.73 GPa, and uniform elongation of about 7.5% in room-temperature tensile tests. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| In the NHS-Galleri trial's evaluable intervention participants across three annual rounds, the multi-cancer early-detection test had 99.50–99.60% specificity and 26.7–37.2% episode sensitivity for all cancers; these performance analyses were descriptive and the trial's primary late-stage-cancer endpoint was not met. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| JWST/NIRSpec spectroscopy detected blueshifted absorption from neutral, low-ionization, and high-ionization metals in three galaxies at redshift 7.2–9.3, consistent with galaxy-associated kinematically disturbed gas before the midpoint of cosmic reionization. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Mojave Desert mineral-rich soils adsorbed more atmospheric CO2 as they cooled at night and desorbed it as they warmed during the day; the study's global extrapolation estimated 1–3 gigatons of carbon moving into and out of desert soils annually, based only on Mojave soils. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| In an eight-week cluster-randomized trial of 277 Chinese third-grade students, digital game-based music learning improved musical knowledge and six motivation measures, while the group-by-time effect on aural skills was not statistically significant. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| The Farta District wild-edible-plants survey was conducted from March to December 2025 across eight kebeles and collected data from 144 informants using interviews, focus groups, guided field walks, and market surveys. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| The Farta District survey documented 50 wild edible plant species from 41 genera and 33 families; fruits were the most frequently utilized edible part at 48.0%, and indigenous knowledge varied significantly among socio-demographic groups. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Using an instrumental-variable design for Chinese scholars, the study estimated that a 1 μg m−3 increase in annual PM2.5 caused a 0.23% decline in academic publications, with larger effects during heavy-pollution years. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| In intracranial recordings from six human patients performing a gamified approach–avoidance task, medial orbitofrontal high-frequency activity increased before approach choices while lateral orbitofrontal activity decreased, revealing opposing decision-related signals before choice. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| In a 13-year fully factorial grassland field experiment, elevated CO2 and nitrogen enrichment reduced temporal stability under otherwise ambient conditions, whereas warming and reduced rainfall alone increased stability; combined-driver effects were frequently non-additive and changed over time. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| Using Chinese provincial panel data from 2010 to 2024, the study found that AI diffusion was positively associated with both the Theil index and the urban–rural income gap in fixed-effects and dynamic panel system-GMM estimates. | Leans supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Leans contradicted. |
| In the study’s modeled channels, educational capacity partly mitigated the AI–inequality relationship, with heterogeneous roles for basic, higher, and vocational education. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Ancient-protein analysis identified multiple Denisovan remains from Bianfu Cave in Southwest China, establishing the cave as a Denisovan locality and extending evidence for the group’s geographic distribution. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Claim | State | Detail | What would most change this |
|---|
| China Telecom sells access to 142 AI models in the manner of a mobile data plan. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Restaurants in China hand customers compute credits after a meal. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| The amygdala's scanning for danger gives humans a preponderance for focusing on bad news and treating the unfamiliar as dangerous. | Leans supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Leans contradicted. |
| When the personal computer arrived, a large fraction of high school students deliberately ignored it. | Leans contradicted | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Leans contradicted to Leans supported. |
| A rampant anti-AI counterculture will emerge in the United States, probably led by Bernie Sanders. | Not assessed | {"provisional":true} | |
| The average Chinese person together with their AI will be smarter than the average American together with theirs. | Not assessed | {"provisional":true} | |
| Intelligence is becoming infrastructure, a foundational layer beneath other activity. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| AI will never become too cheap to meter, because use cases expand as fast as unit costs fall. | Not assessed | {"provisional":true} | |
| Crypto tokens are essentially irrelevant in China. | Contradicted | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Contradicted. |
| China is the bellwether for universal basic compute, and state-issued redistribution of AI tokens will eventually extend to all of humanity. | Not assessed | {"provisional":true} | |
| South Korea has announced universal AI access for all its people through a consortium. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Abundance in healthcare, utility pricing, food, shelter and education is downstream of giving everyone universal basic computing. | Leans supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Contradicted. |
| JP Morgan is small relative to Nvidia both in absolute terms and in the volume of new investment decisions it will make this year. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| The largest AI companies now hold more than $20 trillion in liquidity that they intend to recycle into reinforcing their positions. | Contradicted | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved. |
| Alexander Wissner-Gross coined a term for the eleven companies at the heart of the innermost loop of the economy, which include the Microsoft and FAANG companies plus SpaceX, Tesla and Broadcom. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| Anthropic and OpenAI going public will create a wave of new centimillionaires and billionaires who become the largest source of seed and Series A capital. | Not assessed | {"provisional":true} | |
| The AI economy is now large and self-contained enough that it will mostly leave the legacy economy alone rather than destroying white collar jobs. | Not assessed | {"provisional":true} | |
| Roughly one million professional positions in the United States are now classified as AI jobs. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| LinkedIn estimated that 640,000 AI-specific jobs were created between 2023 and 2025. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Roughly $500 billion in additional annual spending on chips, servers, data centres, cooling and power infrastructure is supporting demand for electricians, HVAC specialists and technicians. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Occupations expected to face AI disruption, including paralegals and market research analysts, have continued to grow. | Contradicted | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved. |
| Eric Schmidt said that AI-exposed jobs are growing faster and paying better. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans contradicted. |
| In Principal Financial Group data covering over 100,000 small business clients, more than 60 per cent were adding jobs because of AI and 1.4 per cent were losing jobs because of AI. | Contradicted | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Contradicted. |
| Studies show that around 74 per cent of work in large companies is coordination work, which Erik Brynjolfsson calls white collar drudgery. | Leans contradicted | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Leans contradicted to Leans supported. |
| Anyone worried about their job should make becoming AI literate and learning the tools their number one focus. | Not assessed | {"provisional":true} | |
| Claim | State | Detail | What would most change this |
|---|
| The amygdala's scanning for danger gives humans a preponderance for focusing on bad news and treating the unfamiliar as dangerous. | Leans supported | {"independence_unreviewed":13} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Leans contradicted. |
| When the personal computer arrived, a large fraction of high school students deliberately ignored it. | Leans contradicted | {"independence_unreviewed":8} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Leans contradicted to Leans supported. |
| A rampant anti-AI counterculture will emerge in the United States, probably led by Bernie Sanders. | Not assessed | {"independence_unreviewed":4} | |
| The average Chinese person together with their AI will be smarter than the average American together with theirs. | Not assessed | {"independence_unreviewed":4} | |
| Intelligence is becoming infrastructure, a foundational layer beneath other activity. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":7} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| AI will never become too cheap to meter, because use cases expand as fast as unit costs fall. | Not assessed | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | |
| Crypto tokens are essentially irrelevant in China. | Contradicted | {"independence_unreviewed":8} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Contradicted. |
| China is the bellwether for universal basic compute, and state-issued redistribution of AI tokens will eventually extend to all of humanity. | Not assessed | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | |
| South Korea has announced universal AI access for all its people through a consortium. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":9} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Abundance in healthcare, utility pricing, food, shelter and education is downstream of giving everyone universal basic computing. | Leans supported | {"independence_unreviewed":11} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Contradicted. |
| JP Morgan is small relative to Nvidia both in absolute terms and in the volume of new investment decisions it will make this year. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":13} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| The largest AI companies now hold more than $20 trillion in liquidity that they intend to recycle into reinforcing their positions. | Contradicted | {"independence_unreviewed":6} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved. |
| Alexander Wissner-Gross coined a term for the eleven companies at the heart of the innermost loop of the economy, which include the Microsoft and FAANG companies plus SpaceX, Tesla and Broadcom. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":6} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| Anthropic and OpenAI going public will create a wave of new centimillionaires and billionaires who become the largest source of seed and Series A capital. | Not assessed | {"independence_unreviewed":4} | |
| The AI economy is now large and self-contained enough that it will mostly leave the legacy economy alone rather than destroying white collar jobs. | Not assessed | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | |
| Roughly one million professional positions in the United States are now classified as AI jobs. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":10} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| LinkedIn estimated that 640,000 AI-specific jobs were created between 2023 and 2025. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":6} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Roughly $500 billion in additional annual spending on chips, servers, data centres, cooling and power infrastructure is supporting demand for electricians, HVAC specialists and technicians. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":10} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Occupations expected to face AI disruption, including paralegals and market research analysts, have continued to grow. | Contradicted | {"independence_unreviewed":7} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved. |
| Eric Schmidt said that AI-exposed jobs are growing faster and paying better. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":8} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans contradicted. |
| In Principal Financial Group data covering over 100,000 small business clients, more than 60 per cent were adding jobs because of AI and 1.4 per cent were losing jobs because of AI. | Contradicted | {"independence_unreviewed":8} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Contradicted. |
| Studies show that around 74 per cent of work in large companies is coordination work, which Erik Brynjolfsson calls white collar drudgery. | Leans contradicted | {"independence_unreviewed":12} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Leans contradicted to Leans supported. |
| Anyone worried about their job should make becoming AI literate and learning the tools their number one focus. | Not assessed | {"independence_unreviewed":4} | |
| Within the million AI-related jobs, co-pilot roles roughly double a worker's efficiency while a separate subset manages tens to hundreds of agents as if they were employees. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":6} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans contradicted. |
| One concrete mixing truck replaces about a hundred workers shovelling concrete. | Contradicted | {"independence_unreviewed":4} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved. |
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Galedra