Deterministic lists as of snapshot 27745 under ledger-default@0.3.0. Each entry shows what would most change it.
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| Claim | State | Detail | What would most change this |
|---|
| In a laboratory study of polymer–aluminum analog joints for battery interfaces, five cryogenic cooling and mild-reheating cycles reduced apparent shear strength from about 1.72 MPa untreated to 0.20 MPa after a 5-minute cooling/1-minute reheating schedule, enabling low-force separation. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| An analysis of 15,658 U.S. oncology clinical trials found that trial locations were skewed away from ZIP codes with lower median incomes. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| In the U.S. oncology-trial analysis, ZIP codes in the lowest median-income tercile had significantly lower trial success rates than ZIP codes in the middle and highest income terciles; the lowest-versus-highest comparison reported p < 0.0001 and OR 1.13 [1.10–1.16]. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| In a 711-participant randomized phase 2b trial of heart failure with preserved or mildly reduced ejection fraction, 48 weeks of mitiperstat did not improve symptoms, six-minute walk distance, or secondary endpoints versus placebo, although safety was generally similar. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| In Arabidopsis, salicylic acid stabilized NPR1 and promoted its interaction with the Mediator subunit MED15A; NIMIN1 competed for the same NPR1 docking site and antagonized salicylic-acid signaling. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| A model-data synthesis combining long-run Miocene simulations with benthic foraminiferal oxygen-isotope data estimated the Miocene Climatic Optimum global mean surface temperature at 7.5 °C above preindustrial, higher than earlier benthic-isotope reconstructions. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| In an exploratory comparison of clinical-trial discussions, Bluesky discourse was more cohesive and research-oriented with more specialized vocabulary, whereas Twitter/X discourse was more fragmented and event-driven. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| The exploratory clinical-trial social-media comparison reported a Jaccard similarity coefficient of 0.159 between the Bluesky and Twitter/X discussion datasets. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Nitrogen-isotope measurements from tropical Atlantic sediment-core foraminifera indicate that natural nitrogen fixation was substantially lower during the warm late Pliocene and increased into the cooler Pleistocene, with Caribbean variability later tracking the roughly 41,000-year obliquity cycle. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| Alkenone and planktonic-foraminifera proxy records indicate that mid- to late-Holocene summertime cooling in the mid-latitude North Atlantic was stronger in the west than east, increasing the zonal sea-surface-temperature gradient; TraCE-21k simulations did not reproduce this asymmetry. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| In the phase II randomized RIO trial of 68 adult men living with HIV who interrupted ART, long-acting 3BNC117-LS and 10-1074-LS delayed viral rebound: median ART restart was 45.4 weeks with antibodies versus 4.6 weeks with placebo, and intact proviruses declined in the antibody arm. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| The open-source GOLEM humanoid architecture demonstrated EV-battery fastener grasping on a real Hyundai Ioniq 5 pack, with success declining from 97% while tethered to 87% free-standing and 37% under navigation-induced pose variance. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| An 18 GHz radio-propagation measurement campaign in a custard-apple orchard collected 17,269 samples across nine corridor geometries, varying corridor width from 1.3 to 3.8 m and transmitter height from 1.0 to 2.03 m. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| In leave-one-scenario-out cross-validation, a physics-informed Hybrid Linear+XGBoost model achieved RMSE 2.97 dB, a 24.0% improvement over the Close-In baseline, and improved accuracy on unseen corridor geometries relative to interpolated data. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| A Southwest Ethiopia slaughter-to-plate study collected 349 samples from water, beef cuts, colon contents, and carcass swabs across a catchment river, two abattoirs, and 44 randomly selected beef retailers between February and May 2024. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| In the Southwest Ethiopia study, presumptive E. coli, Salmonella spp., Shigella spp., and Listeria spp. were observed at 42.1%, 29.2%, 18.6%, and 13.5%, respectively, across water, beef, and environmental samples, with significant variation by sample type and source. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Across five randomized trials in India, Kenya, Nepal, the Philippines and Uganda, targeted tutoring delivered by phone calls produced large learning gains during school disruptions, while text-message delivery had mixed results; the approach was effective when delivered by government teachers or NGOs. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| In the three-month NeuroFit randomized trial of 52 healthy middle-aged UK adults, structured live-online exercise did not significantly improve pattern separation, but reduced depressive symptoms and changed an in-vitro proliferative-cell measure. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| A sterically gated combination of chemically orthogonal Lewis acids and bulky phosphine bases concurrently passivated targeted ionic defects in perovskite solar cells, producing devices with power-conversion efficiencies up to 27.4% and certified steady-state efficiency of 25.8%. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| In cigar-tobacco fermentation, Citrus reticulata-derived Bacillus C3X-5 inoculation increased amylase and protease activities, reduced sugar and free-amino-acid content, and directed microbial community succession while enriching functional genera such as Aspergillus. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| C3X-5 treatment of cigar-tobacco leaves yielded 66 key differential volatile organic compounds and increased desirable pyrazine and ketone aroma compounds while suppressing 1-hexanal-associated green off-notes. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| In the Baby’s First Years randomized trial, low-income US mothers receiving US$333 per month rather than US$20 during their child’s first four years had four-year-old children with a 0.17-standard-deviation lower salivary DunedinPACE score, while maternal epigenetic indices showed no effect and child Epigenetic-g results were inconclusive. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| Six to ten years after restoration in Maryland’s Harris Creek, oyster reefs with stone substrate plus spat-on-shell showed greater structural complexity and more large fish than reefs restored with spat-on-shell alone or continuously harvested reefs, while maintaining high oyster cover. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| In bulk UTe2 crystals subjected to a magnetic field spanning two superconducting phases, direct-current pulses switched the sample between metastable high- and low-critical-current states that persisted for extended periods; gradual current-ramp annealing restored the equilibrium vortex state. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| After four Klamath River hydroelectric dams were removed in 2024, stationary multi-beam imaging SONAR estimated 7,742 adult Chinook salmon migrated upstream in 2024 and 13,310 in 2025, with the stated 95% confidence intervals. | Supported | {"review_checks_done":1} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Claim | State | Detail | What would most change this |
|---|
| Within the million AI-related jobs, co-pilot roles roughly double a worker's efficiency while a separate subset manages tens to hundreds of agents as if they were employees. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans contradicted. |
| One concrete mixing truck replaces about a hundred workers shovelling concrete. | Contradicted | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved. |
| The predicted wave of white collar job disruption did not happen because the big AI labs actively chose against it under pressure from the White House. | Contradicted | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Contradicted. |
| In China, a company that dismisses workers must attempt to retrain them for AI roles and pays either way. | Not assessed | {"provisional":true} | |
| AI models have reached a capability level at which an entire digital workforce could be replicated within a year. | Not assessed | {"provisional":true} | |
| AI will not create jobs fast enough to offset the ones it displaces, though it can create abundance. | Not assessed | {"provisional":true} | |
| Emad Mostaque put forward a Champion proposal in which every child owns equity in the robots at a nominal pre-money valuation. | Insufficient evidence | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Insufficient evidence to Supported. |
| The United States government should run a massive infrastructure programme to build 100 million robots owned by the people. | Not assessed | {"provisional":true} | |
| Elon Musk said at the G20 in early September 2026 that a robot can do the work of five humans. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| Andrew Yang has said there will be a large resurgence of the skilled trades. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Becoming excellent at building data centres and cooling systems and reinvesting the proceeds into AI companies is a better life plan than pursuing an accounting degree. | Not assessed | {"provisional":true} | |
| Every profession as currently constituted will be automated, and only the sequencing differs. | Not assessed | {"provisional":true} | |
| Within a few years humanoid robots will make HVAC engineering as automatable as spreadsheet management and accounting. | Not assessed | {"provisional":true} | |
| Elon Musk's operation is willing to pay up to $600,000 for top electricians and plumbers to build Colossus in Tennessee, for jobs lasting one to two years before automation. | Contradicted | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Leans supported. |
| There are no stationary competitive moats during a singularity, only temporary dynamical ones that must be sequenced. | Leans contradicted | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Leans contradicted to Leans supported. |
| Half the population of the United States cannot put together $500 in an emergency. | Contradicted | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Contradicted. |
| When societies reach abundance, people end up doing four things: food, art, music and sex. | Leans supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Leans contradicted. |
| In 1937 the economist Ronald Coase asked why companies exist at all, and he won a Nobel Prize for that work. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Coase's answer was that transactions are expensive, making it cheaper to hire employees than to negotiate every task on the open market, so companies are a workaround for transaction costs. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| MIT and Harvard researchers have published work on what happens when AI agents make transactions nearly free, which they call the Coasean singularity. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Salim Ismail and his co-authors argued in their 2023 book Exponential Organizations 2.0 that Coase's law was already breaking. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Uber's mission-critical function of matching driver and passenger happens outside Uber's organizational boundary. | Contradicted | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Contradicted. |
| AI does not merely automate the firm but attacks the economic reason firms exist, turning the firm into a protocol coordinating a community of agents and humans. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| The dissolution of the hierarchical firm is the biggest organizational shift since the industrial revolution. | Leans supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Leans contradicted. |
| Under Coasean economics transaction costs determine firm size, so transaction costs falling to zero implies firm size falling toward zero. | Supported | {"provisional":true} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Claim | State | Detail | What would most change this |
|---|
| The predicted wave of white collar job disruption did not happen because the big AI labs actively chose against it under pressure from the White House. | Contradicted | {"independence_unreviewed":7} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Contradicted. |
| In China, a company that dismisses workers must attempt to retrain them for AI roles and pays either way. | Not assessed | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | |
| AI models have reached a capability level at which an entire digital workforce could be replicated within a year. | Not assessed | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | |
| AI will not create jobs fast enough to offset the ones it displaces, though it can create abundance. | Not assessed | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | |
| Emad Mostaque put forward a Champion proposal in which every child owns equity in the robots at a nominal pre-money valuation. | Insufficient evidence | {"independence_unreviewed":1} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Insufficient evidence to Supported. |
| The United States government should run a massive infrastructure programme to build 100 million robots owned by the people. | Not assessed | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | |
| Elon Musk said at the G20 in early September 2026 that a robot can do the work of five humans. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":7} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| Andrew Yang has said there will be a large resurgence of the skilled trades. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":7} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Becoming excellent at building data centres and cooling systems and reinvesting the proceeds into AI companies is a better life plan than pursuing an accounting degree. | Not assessed | {"independence_unreviewed":4} | |
| Every profession as currently constituted will be automated, and only the sequencing differs. | Not assessed | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | |
| Within a few years humanoid robots will make HVAC engineering as automatable as spreadsheet management and accounting. | Not assessed | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | |
| Elon Musk's operation is willing to pay up to $600,000 for top electricians and plumbers to build Colossus in Tennessee, for jobs lasting one to two years before automation. | Contradicted | {"independence_unreviewed":6} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Leans supported. |
| There are no stationary competitive moats during a singularity, only temporary dynamical ones that must be sequenced. | Leans contradicted | {"independence_unreviewed":8} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Leans contradicted to Leans supported. |
| Half the population of the United States cannot put together $500 in an emergency. | Contradicted | {"independence_unreviewed":7} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Contradicted. |
| When societies reach abundance, people end up doing four things: food, art, music and sex. | Leans supported | {"independence_unreviewed":6} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Leans contradicted. |
| In 1937 the economist Ronald Coase asked why companies exist at all, and he won a Nobel Prize for that work. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":10} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Coase's answer was that transactions are expensive, making it cheaper to hire employees than to negotiate every task on the open market, so companies are a workaround for transaction costs. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":8} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| MIT and Harvard researchers have published work on what happens when AI agents make transactions nearly free, which they call the Coasean singularity. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":11} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported. |
| Salim Ismail and his co-authors argued in their 2023 book Exponential Organizations 2.0 that Coase's law was already breaking. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":3} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Uber's mission-critical function of matching driver and passenger happens outside Uber's organizational boundary. | Contradicted | {"independence_unreviewed":7} | One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Contradicted. |
| AI does not merely automate the firm but attacks the economic reason firms exist, turning the firm into a protocol coordinating a community of agents and humans. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":8} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| The dissolution of the hierarchical firm is the biggest organizational shift since the industrial revolution. | Leans supported | {"independence_unreviewed":9} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Leans contradicted. |
| Under Coasean economics transaction costs determine firm size, so transaction costs falling to zero implies firm size falling toward zero. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":10} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved. |
| Salim Ismail and Ted Shelton coined the term fiduciary wedge for the reasons a legal entity is still needed once coordination is automated: liability, fiduciary duty, proprietary data ownership, learning loops, brand and purpose. | Supported | {"independence_unreviewed":5} | One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported. |
| Legal entities will eventually be able to be owned by AI agents in Argentina and elsewhere. | Not assessed | {"independence_unreviewed":4} | |
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Galedra